---
title: "Pyrexx case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Pyrexx ($120.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.77% from 31 items with odds, observed 85.65% over 179 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460244
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:16Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Pyrexx](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460244)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Pyrexx

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460244?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460244?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460244) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460244?window=all)

Price · $120.00

Advertised RTP · 88.77% · EV $106.52 from 31 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.65% · 179 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 43 openings · below min

7 days · 94.10% ±21.55 142 openings

30 days · 85.65% ±19.19 179 openings

since tracking started · 85.65% ±19.19 179 openings

66.0% 106.8% 147.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460244?window=24h) | 43 | 107.73% ±39.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460244?window=7d) | 142 | 94.10% ±21.5 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460244) | 179 | 85.65% ±19.2 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460244?window=all) | 179 | 85.65% ±19.2 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 179 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $5,342 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,857 | $2,430 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,381 | $2,050 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,083 | $1,777 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $779 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 746 | $640 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 662 | $566 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $512 | 7.1% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.51× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $497 | 7.1% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 58 | $439 | 7.1% | 5 | 3.1 | 1.62× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $418 | 7.1% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.54× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $289 | 7.1% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $284 | 7.1% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $210 | 4.7% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.41× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $173 | 4.7% | 2 | 5.2 | 0.39× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $148 | 4.7% | 7 | 6.0 | 1.16× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $116 | 4.7% | 5 | 7.7 | 0.65× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $112 | 4.7% | 6 | 8.0 | 0.75× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $108 | 4.7% | 8 | 8.3 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $78.55 | 4.7% | 12 | 11.4 | 1.06× |
| [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $78.52 | 4.7% | 10 | 11.4 | 0.88× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $70.38 | 4.7% | 13 | 12.7 | 1.02× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-needle-point-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $50.56 | 4.7% | 16 | 17.7 | 0.91× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Constrictor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-constrictor-field-tested) | 10.5% | $47.58 | 4.7% | 22 | 18.8 | 1.17× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $1.53 | 0.0% | 5 | 2.0 | 2.53× |
| [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $1.30 | 0.0% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.86× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $0.66 | 0.0% | 3 | 4.6 | 0.66× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $0.61 | 0.0% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.42× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $0.36 | 0.0% | 13 | 8.4 | 1.55× |
| [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $0.35 | 0.0% | 6 | 8.6 | 0.70× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.21 | 0.0% | 13 | 14.7 | 0.88× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1460244`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [mrouZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mrouZ) $120 $512 4.27x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $120 $512 4.27x 2026-11-08 18:10 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $120 $512 4.27x 2026-11-08 14:21 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Mateuszyście](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mateuszy%C5%9Bcie) $120 $512 4.27x 2026-11-06 17:07 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1460244)

[★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-needle-point-field-tested) Hidden $120 $50.56 0.42x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC

[AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) Hidden $120 $78.55 0.65x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-field-tested) [mrouZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mrouZ) $120 $108 0.90x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $120 $70.38 0.59x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-well-worn) Hidden $120 $0.36 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [mrouZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mrouZ) $120 $512 4.27x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-constrictor-field-tested) Hidden $120 $47.58 0.40x 2026-11-11 15:33 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-constrictor-field-tested) Hidden $120 $47.58 0.40x 2026-11-11 15:33 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-well-worn) [mrouZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mrouZ) $120 $116 0.97x 2026-11-11 15:33 UTC

[AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) Hidden $120 $78.55 0.65x 2026-11-11 15:33 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $120 | 88.77% | 31 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed contraband 0.0% extraordinary 31.0% classified 2.4% covert 18.7% legendary 0.1% covert knife 13.1% #d32ee6 2.9% restricted 10.2% Rare 1.3% #8847ff 2.6% #4b69ff 17.7% best hit $512 (4.27x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.77 on average: an expected loss of $11.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt