---
title: "Dejvid case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Dejvid ($50.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.97% from 35 items with odds, observed 78.93% over 426 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460373
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:38Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Dejvid](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460373)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Dejvid

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460373?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460373?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460373) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460373?window=all)

Price · $50.00

Advertised RTP · 88.97% · EV $44.49 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 78.93% · 426 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 56 openings · below min

7 days · 81.97% ±22.19 383 openings

30 days · 78.93% ±21.04 426 openings

since tracking started · 78.93% ±21.04 426 openings

11.0% 69.8% 128.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460373?window=24h) | 56 | 69.79% ±58.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460373?window=7d) | 383 | 81.97% ±22.2 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460373) | 426 | 78.93% ±21.0 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460373?window=all) | 426 | 78.93% ±21.0 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 426 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-field-tested) | 1 in 2,128 | $2,257 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,140 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 1,538 | $1,634 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 893 | $948 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $818 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 606 | $644 | 2.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 375 | $424 | 2.5% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 327 | $370 | 2.5% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 240 | $273 | 2.5% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.13× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 228 | $259 | 2.5% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.07× |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 216 | $244 | 2.5% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Minimal Wear) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 214 | $242 | 2.5% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 211 | $239 | 2.5% | 5 | 2.0 | 2.48× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $227 | 2.5% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.88× |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 193 | $219 | 2.5% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Road Rash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-factory-new) | 1 in 156 | $176 | 2.5% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.73× |
| [AWP \| Graphite (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $162 | 2.5% | 6 | 3.0 | 2.01× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Splash (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-splash-factory-new) | 1 in 122 | $138 | 2.5% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.86× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 114 | $129 | 2.5% | 7 | 3.7 | 1.87× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 110 | $125 | 2.5% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.52× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 109 | $124 | 2.5% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.28× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $92.55 | 7.8% | 16 | 15.9 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $83.44 | 7.8% | 17 | 17.7 | 0.96× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $76.58 | 7.8% | 16 | 19.3 | 0.83× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $61.12 | 7.8% | 25 | 24.1 | 1.04× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $57.12 | 7.8% | 29 | 25.8 | 1.12× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $56.34 | 7.8% | 21 | 26.2 | 0.80× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $34.41 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $34.28 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $1.02 | 0.1% | 14 | 17.2 | 0.81× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.99 | 0.1% | 20 | 17.8 | 1.13× |
| [AUG \| Tom Cat (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-well-worn) | 10.3% | $0.40 | 0.1% | 47 | 43.9 | 1.07× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-well-worn) | 10.9% | $0.38 | 0.1% | 54 | 46.2 | 1.17× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-well-worn) | 14.7% | $0.28 | 0.1% | 70 | 62.8 | 1.12× |
| [P90 \| Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) | 16.1% | $0.26 | 0.1% | 54 | 68.5 | 0.79× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1460373`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $50.00 $644 12.88x 2026-11-07 20:55 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1460373)

[Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-well-worn) [DnaMoczanowa](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/DnaMoczanowa) $50.00 $0.28 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:47 UTC

[M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.00 $61.12 1.22x 2026-11-11 18:47 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 $227 4.55x 2026-11-11 18:47 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-well-worn) [type shittttt](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/type%20shittttt) $50.00 $0.38 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:47 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 $0.28 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 $0.28 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 $0.28 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC

[P90 | Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) [type shittttt](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/type%20shittttt) $50.00 $0.26 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC

[AUG | Tom Cat (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 $0.40 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC

[AUG | Tom Cat (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 $0.40 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $50.00 | 88.97% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% classified 8.8% covert 26.8% #ffd700 0.3% extraordinary 0.6% Extraordinary 0.5% sunny 0.5% restricted 1.5% red 0.9% #8847ff 4.0% #4b69ff 56.1% best hit $644 (12.88x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.97 on average: an expected loss of $11.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt