--- title: "Burning Dune case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Burning Dune ($4.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.91% from 27 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462098 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Burning Dune](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462098) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Burning Dune A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462098?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462098?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462098) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462098?window=all) Price · $4.50 Advertised RTP · 88.91% · EV $4.00 from 27 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 6.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 62.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462098?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462098?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462098) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462098?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 11,111 | $484 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $458 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $370 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $231 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 3,571 | $162 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,613 | $72.35 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 1,562 | $70.07 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,163 | $52.11 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 1,124 | $50.69 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,124 | $50.67 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 198 | $42.93 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 190 | $41.38 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 179 | $38.83 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 134 | $29.17 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-field-tested) | 1 in 113 | $24.54 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $16.96 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $10.96 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $10.86 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $10.09 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [G3SG1 \| Flux (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $8.55 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $8.00 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Muertos (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $7.11 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAG-7 \| Justice (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $6.27 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $4.86 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $4.59 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $4.52 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-battle-scarred) | 62.4% | $0.06 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1462098`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1462098) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.50 | 88.91% | 27 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.1% classified 16.7% #ffd700 0.0% restricted 0.2% Legendary 4.7% #d32ee6 0.5% red 3.3% #d32ce6 2.0% #8847ff 2.2% Mythical 4.9% #4b69ff 62.4% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.91 on average: an expected loss of $11.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt