---
title: "Toxic Whisper case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Toxic Whisper ($9.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.93% from 34 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462108
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Toxic Whisper](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462108)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Toxic Whisper

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462108?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462108?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462108) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462108?window=all)

Price · $9.00

Advertised RTP · 88.93% · EV $8.00 from 34 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 8.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 64.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462108?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462108?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462108) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1462108?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $888 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $792 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $668 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 4,545 | $584 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife) | 1 in 3,571 | $451 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,564 | $328 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,564 | $327 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) | 1 in 1,724 | $220 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 917 | $117 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 847 | $108 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-factory-new) | 1 in 820 | $104 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 230 | $89.46 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-field-tested) | 1 in 219 | $85.04 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 173 | $67.14 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $48.81 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) | 1 in 98 | $38.13 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $31.49 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $20.66 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $20.63 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $18.93 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $17.59 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $16.77 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $15.20 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $12.20 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $11.91 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $10.37 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $9.19 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $9.08 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $0.43 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Winterized (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.36 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Survivalist (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-survivalist-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $0.28 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 12.6% | $0.14 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Destroyer (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-minimal-wear) | 13.6% | $0.13 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 22.7% | $0.08 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1462108`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1462108)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $9.00 | 88.93% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 4.9% sunny 0.0% covert knife 0.0% extraordinary 0.5% classified 10.6% Covert 2.1% mil spec 43.7% blue 15.8% Legendary 2.5% #d32ce6 3.1% #d32ee6 3.6% pink 4.1% #8847ff 4.1% milspec 4.9%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.93 on average: an expected loss of $11.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt