---
title: "Sprayzone case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Sprayzone ($6.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.83% from 43 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1490868
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Sprayzone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1490868)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Sprayzone

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1490868?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1490868?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1490868) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1490868?window=all)

Price · $6.00

Advertised RTP · 88.83% · EV $5.33 from 43 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 7.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1490868?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1490868?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1490868) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1490868?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $463 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,167 | $373 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,571 | $320 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,778 | $251 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,564 | $232 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-factory-new) | 1 in 1,724 | $156 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 1,299 | $117 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 1,299 | $117 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 1,235 | $112 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 806 | $72.93 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 769 | $69.92 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $69.67 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 690 | $62.66 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 578 | $57.70 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 493 | $49.27 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 465 | $46.51 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 461 | $46.14 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-field-tested) | 1 in 429 | $43.02 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 292 | $29.19 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 258 | $25.79 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 249 | $24.91 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-factory-new) | 1 in 246 | $24.62 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 245 | $24.51 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 185 | $18.49 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 177 | $17.67 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-well-worn) | 1 in 166 | $16.56 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 1 in 156 | $15.67 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) | 1 in 131 | $13.08 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 129 | $12.94 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $11.13 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $10.67 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $10.32 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $8.70 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $7.68 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $7.47 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $6.13 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tread Plate (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $4.71 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $4.69 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $4.54 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $3.01 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 15.2% | $1.03 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-field-tested) | 21.1% | $0.63 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) | 22.4% | $0.42 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1490868`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1490868)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $6.00 | 88.83% | 43 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.0% rare 2.0% covert 1.2% extraordinary 0.0% classified 14.4% restricted 29.8% #d32ee6 3.1% #8847ff 3.9% Mythical 0.8% pink 3.3% blue 5.2% mil spec 15.2% Rare 21.1%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.83 on average: an expected loss of $11.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt