--- title: "Primal Force case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Primal Force ($2.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.93% from 27 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1528403 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Primal Force](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1528403) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Primal Force A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1528403?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1528403?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1528403) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1528403?window=all) Price · $2.00 Advertised RTP · 88.93% · EV $1.78 from 27 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 4.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 62.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1528403?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1528403?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1528403) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1528403?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Classic Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20,000 | $218 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 16,667 | $181 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $141 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $101 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $88.23 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 4,000 | $39.36 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $24.78 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,381 | $23.57 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 2,326 | $23.30 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,174 | $21.95 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 208 | $20.97 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) | 1 in 174 | $17.47 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-battle-scarred) | 1 in 131 | $13.14 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $12.09 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-battle-scarred) | 1 in 74 | $7.46 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $5.05 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $4.61 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Phobos (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-factory-new) | 1 in 46 | $4.58 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 44 | $4.44 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Plastique (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $3.46 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Osiris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-osiris-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $3.37 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $3.32 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Chameleon (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $3.21 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Chopper (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $2.82 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $2.57 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Malachite (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-malachite-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $2.20 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAG-7 \| Foresight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-field-tested) | 62.0% | $0.06 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1528403`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1528403) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.00 | 88.93% | 27 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed gold 0.0% Covert 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% covert 3.4% classified 9.2% Legendary 0.5% pink 0.8% Mythical 5.4% violet 3.0% restricted 10.9% #8847ff 4.8% #4b69ff 62.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.93 on average: an expected loss of $11.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt