---
title: "Freakazoid case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Freakazoid ($11.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.93% from 36 items with odds, observed 90.85% over 2,258 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1534807
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Freakazoid](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1534807)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Freakazoid

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1534807?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1534807?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1534807) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1534807?window=all)

Price · $11.00

Advertised RTP · 88.93% · EV $9.78 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.85% · 2,258 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.64% ±22.65 330 openings

7 days · 92.58% ±9.63 1,828 openings

30 days · 90.85% ±8.66 2,258 openings

since tracking started · 90.85% ±8.66 2,258 openings

68.5% 91.8% 115.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1534807?window=24h) | 330 | 91.64% ±22.7 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1534807?window=7d) | 1,828 | 92.58% ±9.63 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1534807) | 2,258 | 90.85% ±8.66 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1534807?window=all) | 2,258 | 90.85% ±8.66 | +0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,260 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $682 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $600 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,226 | $266 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,125 | $257 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $201 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 2,273 | $188 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,786 | $150 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-field-tested) | 1 in 1,754 | $147 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,639 | $138 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 1,587 | $133 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 1,408 | $118 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,316 | $110 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.16× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 229 | $106 | 4.7% | 9 | 9.9 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 168 | $78.08 | 4.7% | 9 | 13.4 | 0.67× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-well-worn) | 1 in 165 | $76.32 | 4.7% | 15 | 13.7 | 1.09× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 162 | $74.89 | 4.7% | 13 | 14.0 | 0.93× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-well-worn) | 1 in 153 | $70.77 | 4.7% | 15 | 14.8 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 130 | $60.28 | 4.7% | 15 | 17.4 | 0.86× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 122 | $56.36 | 4.7% | 20 | 18.6 | 1.08× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 117 | $54.40 | 4.7% | 23 | 19.3 | 1.19× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 86 | $39.80 | 4.7% | 27 | 26.3 | 1.03× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 79 | $36.44 | 4.7% | 35 | 28.7 | 1.22× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 59 | $27.21 | 4.7% | 53 | 38.5 | 1.38× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $22.52 | 6.0% | 72 | 58.9 | 1.22× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $21.59 | 6.0% | 61 | 61.4 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $20.06 | 6.0% | 63 | 66.1 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $18.63 | 6.0% | 78 | 71.2 | 1.10× |
| [SSG 08 \| Detour (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $14.38 | 6.0% | 100 | 92.2 | 1.08× |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $13.74 | 6.0% | 92 | 96.5 | 0.95× |
| [P90 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.59 | 0.2% | 83 | 89.2 | 0.93× |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $0.36 | 0.2% | 133 | 146.2 | 0.91× |
| [MP7 \| Urban Hazard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-urban-hazard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $0.35 | 0.2% | 162 | 150.4 | 1.08× |
| [Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $0.30 | 0.2% | 176 | 175.4 | 1.00× |
| [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) | 10.6% | $0.22 | 0.2% | 220 | 239.2 | 0.92× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) | 16.6% | $0.14 | 0.2% | 353 | 375.9 | 0.94× |
| [MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-field-tested) | 18.2% | $0.13 | 0.2% | 423 | 410.3 | 1.03× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1534807`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.00 $600 54.57x 2026-11-06 01:16 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1534807)

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) [Mathiiii](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mathiiii) $11.00 $0.14 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC

[MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-field-tested) [Makaroni](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Makaroni) $11.00 $0.13 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC

[SSG 08 | Detour (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-field-tested) [Mathiiii](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mathiiii) $11.00 $14.38 1.31x 2026-11-11 21:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) [Makaroni](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Makaroni) $11.00 $22.52 2.05x 2026-11-11 21:38 UTC

[P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.00 $13.74 1.25x 2026-11-11 21:16 UTC

[SSG 08 | Detour (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-field-tested) [M:⇂](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/M%3A%E2%87%82) $11.00 $14.38 1.31x 2026-11-11 21:16 UTC

[Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-well-worn) Hidden $11.00 $0.30 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:10 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) Hidden $11.00 $0.14 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:10 UTC

[P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $11.00 $0.22 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:10 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) [Berren skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Berren%20skins.army) $11.00 $0.14 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:10 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $11.00 | 88.93% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 3.5% restricted 0.0% covert knife 0.0% classified 14.0% extraordinary 0.7% Covert 0.8% red 1.2% Ancient 1.3% mil spec 4.1% Legendary 4.3% Rare 20.6% milspec 31.3% #4b69ff 18.3% best hit $600 (54.57x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.93 on average: an expected loss of $11.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt