---
title: "KRUTKI case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "KRUTKI ($15.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.79% from 28 items with odds, observed 90.09% over 1,649 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1538599
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:21Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [KRUTKI](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1538599)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · KRUTKI

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1538599?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1538599?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1538599) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1538599?window=all)

Price · $15.00

Advertised RTP · 88.79% · EV $13.32 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.09% · 1,649 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 85.14% ±32.52 180 openings

7 days · 90.96% ±11.55 1,428 openings

30 days · 90.09% ±10.75 1,649 openings

since tracking started · 90.09% ±10.75 1,649 openings

52.0% 85.3% 118.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1538599?window=24h) | 180 | 85.14% ±32.5 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1538599?window=7d) | 1,428 | 90.96% ±11.5 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1538599) | 1,649 | 90.09% ±10.7 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1538599?window=all) | 1,649 | 90.09% ±10.7 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,652 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 2,564 | $729 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 1,852 | $523 | 2.1% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,493 | $420 | 2.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,099 | $312 | 2.1% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) | 1 in 826 | $235 | 2.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 552 | $157 | 2.1% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.34× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 248 | $146 | 4.4% | 9 | 6.7 | 1.35× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 185 | $109 | 4.4% | 10 | 9.0 | 1.12× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-well-worn) | 1 in 178 | $105 | 4.4% | 6 | 9.3 | 0.65× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 164 | $97.10 | 4.4% | 12 | 10.0 | 1.19× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 153 | $90.34 | 4.4% | 16 | 10.8 | 1.48× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 138 | $81.32 | 4.4% | 17 | 12.0 | 1.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 116 | $68.64 | 4.4% | 14 | 14.2 | 0.99× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-battle-scarred) | 1 in 89 | $52.60 | 4.4% | 20 | 18.5 | 1.08× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 73 | $42.79 | 4.4% | 16 | 22.8 | 0.70× |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $34.86 | 4.4% | 26 | 28.0 | 0.93× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $28.06 | 8.2% | 79 | 64.5 | 1.22× |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $26.55 | 8.2% | 56 | 68.2 | 0.82× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $26.25 | 8.2% | 75 | 69.0 | 1.09× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $23.07 | 8.2% | 73 | 78.5 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $15.11 | 8.2% | 134 | 119.8 | 1.12× |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-battle-scarred) | 1 in 98 | $3.31 | 0.3% | 17 | 16.8 | 1.01× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $1.23 | 0.3% | 46 | 45.3 | 1.02× |
| [Tec-9 \| Brother (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $0.41 | 0.3% | 144 | 135.8 | 1.06× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10 | $0.35 | 0.3% | 166 | 159.1 | 1.04× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-well-worn) | 10.2% | $0.33 | 0.3% | 141 | 168.8 | 0.84× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-field-tested) | 16.9% | $0.20 | 0.3% | 282 | 278.5 | 1.01× |
| [XM1014 \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 18.0% | $0.19 | 0.3% | 286 | 297.3 | 0.96× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1538599`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [Defty](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Defty) $15.00 $523 34.89x 2026-11-06 15:37 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [PashaBisekss skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/PashaBisekss%20skins.army) $15.00 $523 34.89x 2026-11-04 22:03 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1538599)

[AWP | Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) Hidden $15.00 $15.11 1.01x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) [SPENISON](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SPENISON) $15.00 $1.23 0.08x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC

[XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-field-tested) [𝕂𝕒𝕞𝕦𝕣 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%82%F0%9D%95%92%F0%9D%95%9E%F0%9D%95%A6%F0%9D%95%A3%20skins.army) $15.00 $0.19 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:05 UTC

[XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-field-tested) [SzybszyNiżNatychmiast](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SzybszyNi%C5%BCNatychmiast) $15.00 $0.19 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:05 UTC

[XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-field-tested) Hidden $15.00 $0.19 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-well-worn) [Aga to Ziomal](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Aga%20to%20Ziomal) $15.00 $0.33 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC

[XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-field-tested) Hidden $15.00 $0.19 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC

[XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-field-tested) Hidden $15.00 $0.19 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-well-worn) [MR.Dick](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/MR.Dick) $15.00 $0.33 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-well-worn) [denis badboy](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/denis%20badboy) $15.00 $0.33 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $15.00 | 88.79% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed rare 0.2% classified 19.4% covert 3.7% epic 0.1% restricted 0.2% extraordinary 1.1% violet 4.9% pink 4.8% #8847ff 11.0% mil spec 27.6% #4b69ff 27.1% best hit $523 (34.89x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.79 on average: an expected loss of $11.21 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt