--- title: "Silent Sailor case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Silent Sailor ($2.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.95% from 27 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544165 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Silent Sailor](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544165) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Silent Sailor A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544165?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544165?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544165) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544165?window=all) Price · $2.50 Advertised RTP · 88.95% · EV $2.22 from 27 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 7.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544165?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544165?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544165) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544165?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 9,091 | $135 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 248 | $89.55 | 16.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 4,545 | $83.85 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 4,545 | $80.21 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $71.01 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 2,941 | $52.19 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $50.20 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $46.33 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-field-tested) | 1 in 3,704 | $43.50 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,887 | $28.25 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,887 | $27.56 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 364 | $25.37 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 392 | $16.90 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 279 | $16.52 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 236 | $15.14 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-battle-scarred) | 1 in 240 | $12.58 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 136 | $6.55 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $6.08 | 14.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $3.45 | 14.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Sergeant (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sergeant-battle-scarred) | 10.8% | $2.64 | 12.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-praetorian-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $2.34 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) | 11.2% | $2.06 | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $1.20 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP7 \| Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-urban-hazard-field-tested) | 10.6% | $0.46 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Ricochet (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-battle-scarred) | 13.1% | $0.25 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Imprint (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $0.24 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) | 22.9% | $0.13 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1544165`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1544165) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.50 | 88.95% | 27 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% restricted 18.1% covert 0.1% classified 0.8% pink 0.9% #d32ee6 1.0% #8847ff 23.0% mil spec 10.6% #4b69ff 22.6% milspec 22.9% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.95 on average: an expected loss of $11.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt