---
title: "Deep Fixer case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Deep Fixer ($7.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.93% from 25 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544168
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:15Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Deep Fixer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544168)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Deep Fixer

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544168?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544168?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544168) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544168?window=all)

Price · $7.00

Advertised RTP · 88.93% · EV $6.23 from 25 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 4.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544168?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544168?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544168) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544168?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-field-tested) | 1 in 2,941 | $295 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 2,174 | $220 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 2,128 | $215 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,695 | $170 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-field-tested) | 1 in 1,176 | $118 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 971 | $97.44 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 847 | $85.21 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 775 | $77.78 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 116 | $54.09 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 106 | $49.50 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-factory-new) | 1 in 85 | $39.60 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $37.56 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 59 | $27.42 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $16.50 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $11.77 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $11.00 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $7.46 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $7.44 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $7.16 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $0.89 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.80 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $0.70 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Ricochet (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-battle-scarred) | 14.1% | $0.28 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Imprint (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-battle-scarred) | 14.1% | $0.28 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Exchanger (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-exchanger-field-tested) | 19.6% | $0.22 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1544168`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1544168)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $7.00 | 88.93% | 25 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Ancient 0.2% epic 0.0% covert knife 0.0% Covert 0.1% extraordinary 0.1% covert 1.9% classified 9.7% blue 1.7% restricted 9.7% pink 19.4% #8847ff 4.4% Mythical 4.9% #4b69ff 47.8%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.93 on average: an expected loss of $11.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
