--- title: "Abyssal Crown case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Abyssal Crown ($34.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.83% from 26 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544192 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Abyssal Crown](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544192) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Abyssal Crown A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544192?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544192?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544192) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544192?window=all) Price · $34.00 Advertised RTP · 88.83% · EV $30.20 from 26 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 5.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 62.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544192?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544192?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544192) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544192?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $3,166 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $2,557 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $1,910 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $1,788 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,030 | $1,011 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,326 | $773 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 1,190 | $397 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,176 | $391 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,149 | $385 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 139 | $346 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 94 | $236 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Battle-Scarred) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $167 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $102 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $87.44 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $79.13 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $70.13 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $64.90 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $50.34 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $38.65 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $37.93 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $37.61 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $0.65 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.32 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Off World (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $0.21 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-field-tested) | 16.4% | $0.11 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) | 28.6% | $0.07 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1544192`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1544192) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $34.00 | 88.83% | 26 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 15.5% legendary 0.0% restricted 6.0% Extraordinary 1.5% classified 17.8% Mythical 5.6% milspec 8.6% #4b69ff 45.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.83 on average: an expected loss of $11.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt