---
title: "BANDURA HUB case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "BANDURA HUB ($5.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.84% from 26 items with odds, observed 86.90% over 14.6K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544235
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:55Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [BANDURA HUB](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544235)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · BANDURA HUB

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544235?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544235?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544235) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544235?window=all)

Price · $5.50

Advertised RTP · 88.84% · EV $4.89 from 26 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.90% · 14.6K openings, odds method

Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 87.92% ±10.39 1,815 openings

7 days · 87.12% ±4.02 12.1K openings

30 days · 86.90% ±3.66 14.6K openings

since tracking started · 86.90% ±3.66 14.6K openings

77.0% 88.0% 99.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544235?window=24h) | 1,815 | 87.92% ±10.4 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544235?window=7d) | 12.1K | 87.12% ±4.02 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544235) | 14.6K | 86.90% ±3.66 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544235?window=all) | 14.6K | 86.90% ±3.66 | −1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14.6K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $210 | 1.8% | 5 | 6.1 | 0.81× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-well-worn) | 1 in 2,174 | $191 | 1.8% | 5 | 6.7 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 2,041 | $181 | 1.8% | 4 | 7.2 | 0.56× |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,724 | $150 | 1.8% | 7 | 8.5 | 0.82× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,724 | $150 | 1.8% | 8 | 8.5 | 0.94× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 893 | $78.51 | 1.8% | 13 | 16.4 | 0.79× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 775 | $68.26 | 1.8% | 20 | 18.9 | 1.06× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 763 | $67.10 | 1.8% | 26 | 19.2 | 1.36× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 709 | $62.16 | 1.8% | 18 | 20.6 | 0.87× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 148 | $51.27 | 7.1% | 95 | 99.1 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $40.32 | 7.1% | 134 | 126.0 | 1.06× |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 101 | $35.11 | 7.1% | 141 | 144.8 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $15.90 | 7.1% | 291 | 319.5 | 0.91× |
| [MP9 \| Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $15.87 | 7.1% | 312 | 320.1 | 0.97× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-battle-scarred) | 1 in 43 | $14.89 | 7.1% | 360 | 341.2 | 1.06× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $11.44 | 7.1% | 420 | 444.1 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Hydra (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-hydra-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $11.42 | 5.2% | 343 | 322.6 | 1.06× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $9.10 | 5.2% | 386 | 404.8 | 0.95× |
| [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $8.51 | 5.1% | 435 | 432.8 | 1.01× |
| [XM1014 \| Incinegator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $6.51 | 5.2% | 546 | 565.8 | 0.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $6.35 | 5.1% | 612 | 580.0 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Hive (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-hive-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $6.28 | 5.1% | 616 | 586.5 | 1.05× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fubar (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-well-worn) | 10.3% | $0.38 | 0.8% | 1,549 | 1502.1 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) | 10.5% | $0.37 | 0.8% | 1,521 | 1542.8 | 0.99× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-battle-scarred) | 18.6% | $0.21 | 0.8% | 2,798 | 2718.1 | 1.03× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) | 27.8% | $0.14 | 0.8% | 3,971 | 4073.8 | 0.97× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1544235`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1544235)

[XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.50 $6.51 1.18x 2026-11-11 20:53 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) Hidden $5.50 $6.35 1.15x 2026-11-11 20:53 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) [jarek486](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/jarek486) $5.50 $0.14 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:53 UTC

[Tec-9 | Fubar (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-well-worn) [Oskar](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Oskar) $5.50 $0.38 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:52 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) [Lewy](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Lewy) $5.50 $0.14 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:52 UTC

[Tec-9 | Fubar (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-well-worn) [Mathiiii](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mathiiii) $5.50 $0.38 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:48 UTC

[MP9 | Latte Rush (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-well-worn) [SYS ✬ SZERSZEŃ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SYS%20%E2%9C%AC%20SZERSZE%C5%83) $5.50 $8.51 1.55x 2026-11-11 20:48 UTC

[P250 | Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.50 $11.44 2.08x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) Hidden $5.50 $6.35 1.15x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-battle-scarred) [yala♛](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/yala%E2%99%9B) $5.50 $0.21 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $5.50 | 88.84% | 26 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.3% extraordinary 0.0% #d32ee6 2.2% classified 15.5% violet 2.8% uncommon 3.0% Legendary 4.0% #4b69ff 50.4% mil spec 20.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.84 on average: an expected loss of $11.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt