--- title: "IGL MOUZ case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "IGL MOUZ ($20.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.25% from 25 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547290 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [IGL MOUZ](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547290) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · IGL MOUZ A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547290?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547290?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547290) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547290?window=all) Price · $20.00 Advertised RTP · 89.25% · EV $17.85 from 25 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 5.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.7% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547290?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547290?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547290) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547290?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) | 1 in 50,000 | $4,682 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,000 | $2,698 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $686 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $630 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,226 | $261 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) | 1 in 405 | $240 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 2,564 | $230 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-minimal-wear) | 1 in 326 | $153 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 322 | $147 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $146 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 373 | $132 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 284 | $127 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 221 | $91.20 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $86.17 | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $78.07 | 41.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 181 | $69.86 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $67.71 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 137 | $66.26 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $59.31 | 13.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 42 | $51.30 | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $1.59 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $0.47 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-well-worn) | 12.1% | $0.19 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-battle-scarred) | 27.1% | $0.16 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) | 31.3% | $0.13 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1547290`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1547290) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $20.00 | 89.25% | 25 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.9% classified 9.4% covert 4.9% gold 0.0% red 0.8% restricted 6.0% #8847ff 7.5% #4b69ff 39.2% milspec 31.3% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.25 on average: an expected loss of $10.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt