--- title: "SNIPER MOUZ case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "SNIPER MOUZ ($8.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.03% from 25 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547315 rendered: 2026-11-11T21:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [SNIPER MOUZ](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547315) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · SNIPER MOUZ A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547315?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547315?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547315) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547315?window=all) Price · $8.00 Advertised RTP · 89.03% · EV $7.12 from 25 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 5.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547315?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547315?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547315) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547315?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11,111 | $799 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $686 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,000 | $267 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $209 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,695 | $149 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Night (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,639 | $144 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,493 | $121 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $112 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) | 1 in 1,163 | $104 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,111 | $103 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 1,042 | $100 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-factory-new) | 1 in 1,220 | $88.21 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 980 | $76.22 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-well-worn) | 1 in 102 | $70.00 | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $65.10 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $55.91 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 74 | $45.04 | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Toxic (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $23.48 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Muertos (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-field-tested) | 10.1% | $15.01 | 21.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) | 11.9% | $12.27 | 20.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $1.10 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.58 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 24.9% | $0.35 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) | 28.8% | $0.28 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP9 \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $0.26 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1547315`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1547315) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $8.00 | 89.03% | 25 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.2% covert knife 0.0% #ffd700 0.1% classified 22.3% Legendary 0.1% red 1.5% extraordinary 1.0% Rare 30.6% #8847ff 3.0% Mythical 5.0% #4b69ff 24.9% mil spec 9.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.03 on average: an expected loss of $10.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt