--- title: "RIFLER MOUZ case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "RIFLER MOUZ ($11.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.02% from 26 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547387 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [RIFLER MOUZ](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547387) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · RIFLER MOUZ A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547387?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547387?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547387) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547387?window=all) Price · $11.00 Advertised RTP · 89.02% · EV $9.79 from 26 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 4.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547387?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547387?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547387) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547387?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) | 1 in 7,692 | $868 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,143 | $689 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-field-tested) | 1 in 3,846 | $439 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 3,846 | $363 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 1,282 | $160 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-well-worn) | 1 in 1,351 | $119 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 395 | $110 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 1,449 | $104 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 375 | $95.19 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 455 | $91.20 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 358 | $79.56 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 372 | $71.76 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 232 | $61.80 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 164 | $50.75 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $49.70 | 21.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $46.71 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) | 1 in 190 | $43.91 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $37.86 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Visions (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $23.20 | 17.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $23.17 | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $17.44 | 15.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 49 | $4.69 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $0.69 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.54 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Red Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.41 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) | 31.9% | $0.16 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1547387`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1547387) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $11.00 | 89.02% | 26 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.1% pink 0.0% sunny 0.0% classified 14.0% extraordinary 0.1% #eb4b4b 0.3% covert knife 0.1% Ancient 0.3% red 0.2% restricted 13.0% #d32ee6 7.3% #8847ff 2.0% violet 3.8% #4b69ff 56.8% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.02 on average: an expected loss of $10.98 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt