--- title: "SECOND ENTRY MOUZ case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "SECOND ENTRY MOUZ ($14.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.81% from 24 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547409 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [SECOND ENTRY MOUZ](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547409) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · SECOND ENTRY MOUZ A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547409?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547409?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547409) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547409?window=all) Price · $14.00 Advertised RTP · 88.81% · EV $12.43 from 24 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 5.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 66.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547409?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547409?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547409) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547409?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 11,111 | $1,618 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $958 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,846 | $558 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) | 1 in 3,125 | $462 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,562 | $228 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,515 | $220 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,190 | $174 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,075 | $156 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 1 in 990 | $145 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 909 | $133 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 877 | $128 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $97.51 | 11.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 53 | $73.12 | 11.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $56.64 | 11.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-nostalgia-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $33.87 | 11.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $28.43 | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $23.01 | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $20.53 | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $19.29 | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $0.65 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $0.30 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 21.1% | $0.26 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Freight (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-minimal-wear) | 18.1% | $0.23 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) | 19.1% | $0.17 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1547409`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1547409) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $14.00 | 88.81% | 24 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.9% Ancient 0.0% classified 12.2% pink 4.5% violet 6.3% Legendary 6.7% restricted 2.4% #4b69ff 64.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.81 on average: an expected loss of $11.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt