--- title: "COACH MOUZ case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "COACH MOUZ ($17.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.96% from 24 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547418 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [COACH MOUZ](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547418) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · COACH MOUZ A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547418?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547418?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547418) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547418?window=all) Price · $17.00 Advertised RTP · 88.96% · EV $15.12 from 24 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 7.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547418?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547418?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547418) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1547418?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,167 | $1,735 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,545 | $1,074 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 4,545 | $886 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,703 | $498 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $445 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 917 | $295 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 800 | $198 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 781 | $175 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 155 | $158 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 142 | $147 | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $131 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 123 | $114 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $69.06 | 9.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $44.13 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $41.06 | 9.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $39.18 | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $32.97 | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $20.53 | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Nemesis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-nemesis-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $18.13 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $0.87 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Ol' Rusty (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-ol-rusty-well-worn) | 13.1% | $0.55 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.54 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 25.9% | $0.26 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Ricochet (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-battle-scarred) | 23.4% | $0.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1547418`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1547418) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $17.00 | 88.96% | 24 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #eb4b4b 0.0% restricted 3.5% covert 4.2% sunny 0.0% rare 0.1% classified 13.2% extraordinary 0.1% red 4.1% Classified 4.7% Restricted 2.6% #4b69ff 62.5% Mythical 5.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.96 on average: an expected loss of $11.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt