---
title: "Hula Heat case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Hula Heat ($1.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.88% from 31 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554340
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:17Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Hula Heat](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554340)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Hula Heat

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554340?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554340?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554340) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554340?window=all)

Price · $1.50

Advertised RTP · 88.88% · EV $1.33 from 31 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 3.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554340?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554340?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554340) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554340?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20,000 | $163 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $116 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $71.59 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 5,882 | $45.83 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,545 | $36.42 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-factory-new) | 1 in 3,448 | $27.59 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,222 | $17.84 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,222 | $17.76 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-well-worn) | 1 in 2,222 | $17.70 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 210 | $15.52 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $12.33 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $12.20 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 1,111 | $8.84 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-minimal-wear) | 1 in 90 | $6.63 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 89 | $6.61 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 75 | $5.52 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $3.54 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Visions (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $3.40 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-praetorian-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $3.31 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $3.21 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-factory-new) | 1 in 64 | $3.20 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 58 | $2.88 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 49 | $2.45 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 49 | $2.44 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Fizzy POP (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $1.99 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Field-Tested) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $1.98 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-banana-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $1.69 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 34 | $1.69 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $1.68 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $1.66 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-battle-scarred) | 62.0% | $0.06 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1554340`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1554340)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.50 | 88.88% | 31 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 3 2.5% covert 0.7% red 0.0% classified 9.5% Classified 4.1% Legendary 3.6% pink 2.2% restricted 5.2% Mythical 1.6% Mil Spec Grade 2.5% #8847ff 3.0% Rare 65.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.88 on average: an expected loss of $11.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt