---
title: "Rainforest Recon case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Rainforest Recon ($3.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.95% from 34 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554362
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Rainforest Recon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554362)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Rainforest Recon

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554362?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554362?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554362) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554362?window=all)

Price · $3.50

Advertised RTP · 88.95% · EV $3.11 from 34 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 7.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554362?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554362?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554362) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1554362?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $330 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $286 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $232 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 3,846 | $170 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested) | 1 in 2,381 | $107 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 1,786 | $79.41 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,042 | $46.52 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $40.31 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) | 1 in 893 | $39.72 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 251 | $38.49 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 227 | $34.74 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 210 | $32.10 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $27.59 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 130 | $19.92 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 101 | $15.43 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Rose Iron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 79 | $12.09 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $8.37 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $7.83 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $7.78 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $7.45 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $6.31 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $6.10 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $4.41 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $4.40 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 34 | $4.19 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 32 | $3.97 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $3.95 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.54 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-well-worn) | 1 in 10 | $0.48 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Allure (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10 | $0.35 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Fubar (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-fubar-well-worn) | 1 in 10 | $0.19 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-well-worn) | 1 in 10 | $0.13 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Insomnia (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-insomnia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10 | $0.06 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.06 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1554362`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1554362)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $3.50 | 88.95% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 7.6% extraordinary 0.0% sunny 0.0% #eb4b4b 0.0% restricted 12.9% Legendary 3.5% pink 0.4% red 2.4% classified 11.6% #8847ff 12.9% Mythical 9.7% milspec 19.4% #4b69ff 19.4%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.95 on average: an expected loss of $11.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt