---
title: "Sticker case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Sticker ($0.90) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.04% from 51 items with odds, observed 89.09% over 62.7K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568455
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:28Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Sticker](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568455)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Sticker

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568455?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568455?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568455) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568455?window=all)

Price · $0.90

Advertised RTP · 89.04% · EV $0.80 from 51 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.09% · 62.7K openings, odds method

Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 87.91% ±2.78 8,509 openings

7 days · 89.09% ±1.13 51.4K openings

30 days · 89.09% ±1.02 62.7K openings

since tracking started · 89.09% ±1.02 62.7K openings

84.5% 88.0% 91.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568455?window=24h) | 8,509 | 87.91% ±2.78 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568455?window=7d) | 51.4K | 89.09% ±1.13 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568455) | 62.7K | 89.09% ±1.02 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568455?window=all) | 62.7K | 89.09% ±1.02 | +0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 51 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 62.9K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Googly Eye (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-googly-eye-lenticular) | 1 in 142 | $9.19 | 8.1% | 423 | 443.2 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Ruby Wave (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-wave-lenticular) | 1 in 65 | $4.20 | 8.1% | 958 | 970.1 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Side Eyes (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-side-eyes-lenticular) | 1 in 56 | $3.61 | 8.1% | 1,155 | 1128.5 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Taste Buddy (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taste-buddy-holo) | 1 in 53 | $3.43 | 8.1% | 1,204 | 1187.6 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) | 1 in 42 | $2.74 | 8.1% | 1,500 | 1486.8 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Winding Scorch (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-winding-scorch-foil) | 1 in 27 | $1.78 | 8.1% | 2,296 | 2288.4 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Bolt Charge (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-charge-foil) | 1 in 27 | $1.76 | 8.1% | 2,320 | 2314.8 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Bolt Strike (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-strike-foil) | 1 in 23 | $1.49 | 8.1% | 2,759 | 2734.1 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Red Shades (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shades-foil) | 1 in 20 | $1.27 | 8.1% | 3,264 | 3207.5 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Flex sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flex) | 1 in 15 | $0.98 | 8.1% | 4,122 | 4156.8 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Gold Teef (Foil) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-teef-foil) | 1 in 140 | $0.75 | 0.7% | 458 | 447.6 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Hypnoteyes (Holo) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hypnoteyes-holo) | 1 in 124 | $0.66 | 0.7% | 517 | 508.0 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) | 1 in 122 | $0.65 | 0.7% | 501 | 515.5 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| Mustachio (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mustachio-foil) | 1 in 114 | $0.61 | 0.7% | 569 | 549.5 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Rainbow Route (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rainbow-route-holo) | 1 in 114 | $0.61 | 0.7% | 521 | 549.5 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Bolt Energy (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-energy-foil) | 1 in 114 | $0.61 | 0.7% | 583 | 549.5 | 1.06× |
| [Sticker \| Ribbon Tie sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ribbon-tie) | 1 in 97 | $0.52 | 0.7% | 590 | 645.0 | 0.91× |
| [Sticker \| High Heat sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-high-heat) | 1 in 94 | $0.50 | 0.7% | 655 | 670.8 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Say Cheese (Holo) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-say-cheese-holo) | 1 in 86 | $0.46 | 0.7% | 720 | 728.6 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| From The Deep (Glitter) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-from-the-deep-glitter) | 1 in 83 | $0.44 | 0.7% | 781 | 762.0 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) | 1 in 60 | $0.32 | 0.7% | 1,032 | 1048.0 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Boom Trail (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-trail-glitter) | 1 in 58 | $0.31 | 0.7% | 1,038 | 1081.3 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| Clown Nose sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-nose) | 1 in 56 | $0.30 | 0.7% | 1,096 | 1117.8 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Taste Bud sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taste-bud) | 1 in 54 | $0.29 | 0.7% | 1,127 | 1156.1 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| Chompers sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chompers) | 1 in 54 | $0.29 | 0.7% | 1,166 | 1156.1 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) | 1 in 52 | $0.28 | 0.7% | 1,173 | 1197.6 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| From The Deep sticker · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-from-the-deep) | 1 in 49 | $0.26 | 0.7% | 1,252 | 1289.4 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| Quick Peek sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-quick-peek) | 1 in 47 | $0.25 | 0.7% | 1,287 | 1341.0 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| Blinky sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blinky) | 1 in 93 | $0.23 | 0.3% | 706 | 679.0 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Boom Detonation (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-detonation-glitter) | 1 in 89 | $0.22 | 0.3% | 717 | 707.9 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Hydro Wave sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hydro-wave) | 1 in 85 | $0.21 | 0.3% | 767 | 741.8 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| Bolt Charge sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-charge) | 1 in 85 | $0.21 | 0.3% | 700 | 741.8 | 0.94× |
| [Sticker \| Bolt Strike sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-strike) | 1 in 77 | $0.19 | 0.3% | 780 | 819.8 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Winding Scorch sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-winding-scorch) | 1 in 77 | $0.19 | 0.3% | 858 | 819.8 | 1.05× |
| [Sticker \| Scorch Loop sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-scorch-loop) | 1 in 77 | $0.19 | 0.3% | 779 | 819.8 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Hot Rod Heat sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-rod-heat) | 1 in 73 | $0.18 | 0.3% | 832 | 865.7 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| Bolt Energy sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-energy) | 1 in 69 | $0.17 | 0.3% | 892 | 916.6 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| Boom Trail sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-trail) | 1 in 69 | $0.17 | 0.3% | 903 | 916.6 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Boom Detonation sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-detonation) | 1 in 61 | $0.15 | 0.3% | 1,022 | 1038.6 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Scorch Loop (Reverse) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-scorch-loop-reverse) | 1 in 61 | $0.15 | 0.3% | 1,115 | 1038.6 | 1.07× |
| [Sticker \| Strike A Pose sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-strike-a-pose) | 1 in 56 | $0.14 | 0.3% | 1,157 | 1112.8 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Glare sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-glare) | 1 in 56 | $0.14 | 0.3% | 1,186 | 1112.8 | 1.07× |
| [Sticker \| XD sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-xd) | 1 in 56 | $0.14 | 0.3% | 1,152 | 1112.8 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Boom Blast (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-blast-glitter) | 1 in 56 | $0.14 | 0.3% | 1,138 | 1112.8 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Boom Epicenter (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-epicenter-glitter) | 1 in 52 | $0.13 | 0.3% | 1,175 | 1198.3 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Hydro Stream sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hydro-stream) | 1 in 44 | $0.11 | 0.3% | 1,457 | 1416.4 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| Boom Blast sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-blast) | 1 in 40 | $0.10 | 0.3% | 1,518 | 1557.9 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| Hydro Geyser sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hydro-geyser) | 1 in 36 | $0.09 | 0.3% | 1,667 | 1730.8 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| Lefty (CT) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lefty-ct) | 1 in 32 | $0.08 | 0.3% | 2,014 | 1947.7 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| Lefty (T) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lefty-t) | 1 in 28 | $0.07 | 0.3% | 2,265 | 2225.5 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Boom Epicenter sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-epicenter) | 1 in 21 | $0.06 | 0.4% | 3,001 | 3003.2 | 1.00× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1568455`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1568455)

[Sticker | Blinky sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blinky) Hidden $0.90 $0.23 0.26x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC

[Sticker | Googly Eye (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-googly-eye-lenticular) Hidden $0.90 $9.19 10.21x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC

[Sticker | Bolt Charge (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-charge-foil) [konzi skins.army SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/konzi%20skins.army%20SKINS) $0.90 $1.76 1.96x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC

[Sticker | Hydro Geyser sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hydro-geyser) [sernikbambaryla skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/sernikbambaryla%20skins.army) $0.90 $0.09 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC

[Sticker | Hydro Geyser sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hydro-geyser) [spocony.kasti69.skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/spocony.kasti69.skins.army) $0.90 $0.09 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC

[Sticker | Gold Teef (Foil) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-teef-foil) [~oWn.](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/~oWn.) $0.90 $0.75 0.83x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

[Sticker | Bolt Strike (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-strike-foil) [michal1044skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/michal1044skins.army) $0.90 $1.49 1.66x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

[Sticker | Flex sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flex) [~oWn.](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/~oWn.) $0.90 $0.98 1.09x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

[Sticker | XD sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-xd) [michal1044skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/michal1044skins.army) $0.90 $0.14 0.16x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

[Sticker | Bolt Strike (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-strike-foil) Hidden $0.90 $1.49 1.66x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $0.90 | 89.04% | 51 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #eb4b4b 2.2% extraordinary 4.2% #8847ff 10.1% #d32ce6 18.5% blue 9.9% common 3.9% #4b69ff 45.2% milspec 2.1% pink 2.5% violet 1.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.04 on average: an expected loss of $10.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt