---
title: "Ascent Cougar case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Ascent Cougar ($1.10) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.04% over 40.4K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1569108
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Ascent Cougar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1569108)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Ascent Cougar

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1569108?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1569108?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1569108) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1569108?window=all)

Price · $1.10

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.04% · 40.4K openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 92.30% ±10.42 4,767 openings

7 days · 88.25% ±3.83 32.4K openings

30 days · 88.04% ±3.42 40.4K openings

since tracking started · 88.04% ±3.42 40.4K openings

81.0% 92.3% 103.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1569108?window=24h) | 4,767 | 92.30% ±10.4 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1569108?window=7d) | 32.4K | 88.25% ±3.83 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1569108) | 40.4K | 88.04% ±3.42 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1569108?window=all) | 40.4K | 88.04% ±3.42 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** G4Skins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1569108)

[Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-sky-blue-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.10 $0.07 0.06x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-electric-blue-field-tested) Hidden $1.10 $0.07 0.06x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC

[M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-factory-new) [Maślok](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Ma%C5%9Blok) $1.10 $39.79 36.17x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC

[P250 | Plum Netting (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-plum-netting-factory-new) [kazieka](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kazieka) $1.10 $0.07 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:59 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Runoff (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-runoff-well-worn) [LoU skins.armySKINSCS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/LoU%20skins.armySKINSCS2.ME) $1.10 $0.05 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:59 UTC

[SG 553 | Night Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-night-camo-well-worn) [kazieka](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kazieka) $1.10 $0.05 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:59 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Cobalt Grip (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-cobalt-grip-minimal-wear) [LoU skins.armySKINSCS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/LoU%20skins.armySKINSCS2.ME) $1.10 $0.05 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:59 UTC

[Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-turquoise-pour-factory-new) Hidden $1.10 $0.20 0.18x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC

[Nova | Turquoise Pour (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-turquoise-pour-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.10 $0.07 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC

[Nova | Turquoise Pour (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-turquoise-pour-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.10 $0.07 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.04 on average: an expected loss of $11.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
