---
title: "White Heat case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "White Heat ($25.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.84% from 29 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1584157
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [White Heat](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1584157)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · White Heat

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1584157?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1584157?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1584157) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1584157?window=all)

Price · $25.00

Advertised RTP · 88.84% · EV $22.21 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 5.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1584157?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1584157?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1584157) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1584157?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,557 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $1,887 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $1,521 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $1,080 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) | 1 in 2,778 | $693 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,961 | $492 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 1,220 | $307 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,205 | $302 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,176 | $293 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,053 | $262 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 149 | $234 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 113 | $177 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $111 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 70 | $110 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $62.25 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $59.76 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-gold-toof-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $58.56 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $50.90 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $46.31 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $39.38 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $37.20 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $27.79 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $27.72 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Lil' Pig (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lil-pig-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $25.97 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $0.77 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Control (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-control-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $0.51 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10 | $0.24 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Trail Blazer (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-well-worn) | 21.3% | $0.11 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hideout (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hideout-field-tested) | 23.5% | $0.10 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1584157`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1584157)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $25.00 | 88.84% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 22.5% extraordinary 0.1% gold 0.1% classified 4.5% rare 1.4% pink 9.2% Rare 3.0% restricted 4.6% #4b69ff 33.3% milspec 21.3%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.84 on average: an expected loss of $11.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt