--- title: "Feinzy case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Feinzy ($4.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.89% from 28 items with odds, observed 87.88% over 6,503 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1585432 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Feinzy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1585432) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Feinzy A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1585432?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1585432?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1585432) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1585432?window=all) Price · $4.00 Advertised RTP · 88.89% · EV $3.56 from 28 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.88% · 6,503 openings, odds method Variance · 3.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 61.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 96.26% ±14.50 705 openings 7 days · 86.79% ±5.25 5,381 openings 30 days · 87.88% ±4.77 6,503 openings since tracking started · 87.88% ±4.77 6,503 openings 81.0% 96.3% 111.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1585432?window=24h) | 705 | 96.26% ±14.5 | +1.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1585432?window=7d) | 5,381 | 86.79% ±5.25 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1585432) | 6,503 | 87.88% ±4.77 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1585432?window=all) | 6,503 | 87.88% ±4.77 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,511 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $196 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $192 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $170 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 4,545 | $153 | 0.9% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.09× | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 4,348 | $143 | 0.9% | 5 | 1.5 | 3.34× | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 3,125 | $105 | 0.9% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.96× | | [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,125 | $104 | 0.9% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.96× | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,273 | $76.30 | 0.9% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.35× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,041 | $67.69 | 0.9% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.31× | | [AWP \| Electric Hive (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-field-tested) | 1 in 187 | $31.48 | 4.7% | 37 | 34.8 | 1.06× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 163 | $27.37 | 4.7% | 38 | 40.0 | 0.95× | | [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 122 | $20.43 | 4.7% | 53 | 53.5 | 0.99× | | [P250 \| Muertos (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-well-worn) | 1 in 95 | $16.01 | 4.7% | 66 | 68.3 | 0.97× | | [Galil AR \| Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 82 | $13.73 | 4.7% | 91 | 79.7 | 1.14× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $9.35 | 4.7% | 97 | 117.0 | 0.83× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Syndicate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-syndicate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $9.02 | 4.7% | 106 | 121.3 | 0.87× | | [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $8.86 | 4.7% | 148 | 123.4 | 1.20× | | [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $8.42 | 8.3% | 243 | 227.8 | 1.07× | | [M4A4 \| Polysoup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $7.02 | 8.3% | 269 | 273.1 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Kintsugi (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-kintsugi-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $6.46 | 8.3% | 273 | 296.8 | 0.92× | | [UMP-45 \| K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-k-o-factory-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $5.75 | 8.3% | 334 | 333.5 | 1.00× | | [UMP-45 \| Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $5.54 | 8.3% | 344 | 346.1 | 0.99× | | [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $4.75 | 8.3% | 406 | 403.7 | 1.01× | | [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.57 | 0.8% | 304 | 331.3 | 0.92× | | [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $0.52 | 0.8% | 334 | 363.1 | 0.92× | | [R8 Revolver \| Junk Yard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $0.33 | 0.8% | 585 | 572.2 | 1.02× | | [Dual Berettas \| Hideout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hideout-battle-scarred) | 13.2% | $0.22 | 0.8% | 861 | 858.2 | 1.00× | | [Nova \| Dark Sigil (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-dark-sigil-field-tested) | 28.4% | $0.10 | 0.8% | 1,908 | 1850.5 | 1.03× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1585432`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1585432) [MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.00 $8.86 2.22x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-dark-sigil-field-tested) Hidden $4.00 $0.10 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [UMP-45 | Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-field-tested) Hidden $4.00 $5.54 1.39x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hideout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hideout-battle-scarred) [CUM skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/CUM%20skins.army) $4.00 $0.22 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.00 $0.33 0.08x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hideout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hideout-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.00 $0.22 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-kintsugi-well-worn) Hidden $4.00 $6.46 1.62x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-k-o-factory-field-tested) [CUM skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/CUM%20skins.army) $4.00 $5.75 1.44x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-k-o-factory-field-tested) Hidden $4.00 $5.75 1.44x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) Hidden $4.00 $4.75 1.19x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.89% | 28 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 0.0% classified 6.9% Immortal 0.0% covert 0.1% red 0.1% #ffd700 0.0% #d32ce6 5.6% restricted 1.9% Legendary 8.8% violet 14.9% pink 5.1% Mythical 6.2% blue 37.2% #4b69ff 13.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.89 on average: an expected loss of $11.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt