---
title: "777 case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "777 ($7.77) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.89% from 49 items with odds, observed 89.20% over 10.9K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/162
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [777](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/162)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · 777

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/162?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/162?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/162) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/162?window=all)

Price · $7.77

Advertised RTP · 88.89% · EV $6.91 from 49 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.20% · 10.9K openings, odds method

Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.53% ±8.64 1,598 openings

7 days · 89.22% ±3.56 9,387 openings

30 days · 89.20% ±3.30 10.9K openings

since tracking started · 89.20% ±3.30 10.9K openings

81.0% 90.5% 100.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/162?window=24h) | 1,598 | 90.53% ±8.64 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/162?window=7d) | 9,387 | 89.22% ±3.56 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/162) | 10.9K | 89.20% ±3.30 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/162?window=all) | 10.9K | 89.20% ±3.30 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 11K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $356 | 0.8% | 6 | 1.8 | 3.42× |
| [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $324 | 0.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $284 | 0.8% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,762 | $265 | 0.8% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× |
| [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $246 | 0.8% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.79× |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) | 1 in 3,448 | $194 | 0.8% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.57× |
| [AWP \| Graphite (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-factory-new) | 1 in 2,703 | $154 | 0.8% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.99× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 2,439 | $137 | 0.8% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.89× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,273 | $130 | 0.8% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.83× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 1,852 | $104 | 0.8% | 2 | 5.9 | 0.34× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) | 1 in 1,639 | $93.84 | 0.8% | 5 | 6.7 | 0.75× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 685 | $76.46 | 1.6% | 20 | 16.0 | 1.25× |
| [P90 \| Tiger Pit (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-tiger-pit-battle-scarred) | 1 in 575 | $63.98 | 1.6% | 13 | 19.1 | 0.68× |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 388 | $43.19 | 1.6% | 36 | 28.3 | 1.27× |
| [M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-field-tested) | 1 in 350 | $39.05 | 1.6% | 34 | 31.3 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 293 | $32.71 | 1.6% | 36 | 37.4 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 284 | $31.66 | 1.6% | 37 | 38.6 | 0.96× |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 273 | $30.46 | 1.6% | 36 | 40.1 | 0.90× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-factory-new) | 1 in 268 | $29.92 | 1.6% | 42 | 40.9 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 1 in 224 | $24.95 | 1.6% | 50 | 49.0 | 1.02× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 1 in 204 | $22.72 | 1.6% | 55 | 53.8 | 1.02× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-minimal-wear) | 1 in 197 | $21.96 | 1.6% | 46 | 55.7 | 0.83× |
| [MAG-7 \| Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-minimal-wear) | 1 in 194 | $21.64 | 1.6% | 56 | 56.4 | 0.99× |
| [Negev \| Phoenix Stencil (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-phoenix-stencil-factory-new) | 1 in 175 | $19.56 | 1.6% | 63 | 62.4 | 1.01× |
| [Negev \| Phoenix Stencil (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-phoenix-stencil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $18.63 | 1.6% | 71 | 65.5 | 1.08× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 162 | $18.01 | 1.6% | 68 | 67.8 | 1.00× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-field-tested) | 1 in 159 | $17.73 | 1.6% | 70 | 68.9 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 159 | $17.69 | 1.6% | 68 | 69.0 | 0.99× |
| [P250 \| Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) | 1 in 152 | $16.95 | 1.6% | 53 | 72.1 | 0.74× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-well-worn) | 1 in 146 | $16.29 | 1.6% | 77 | 74.9 | 1.03× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 139 | $15.48 | 1.6% | 74 | 78.9 | 0.94× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $15.06 | 6.1% | 303 | 304.5 | 1.00× |
| [P90 \| Tiger Pit (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-tiger-pit-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $14.64 | 6.1% | 294 | 313.2 | 0.94× |
| [P250 \| Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 32 | $13.59 | 6.1% | 345 | 337.4 | 1.02× |
| [MAG-7 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $13.21 | 6.1% | 361 | 347.2 | 1.04× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $10.93 | 6.1% | 417 | 419.6 | 0.99× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $10.79 | 6.1% | 442 | 425.0 | 1.04× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $9.37 | 6.1% | 495 | 489.4 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 54 | $7.60 | 2.0% | 214 | 201.8 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $7.07 | 2.0% | 247 | 216.9 | 1.14× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $3.98 | 2.0% | 394 | 385.4 | 1.02× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Well-Worn) weapon · 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $3.93 | 2.0% | 410 | 390.3 | 1.05× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $1.85 | 2.0% | 840 | 829.2 | 1.01× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $1.72 | 2.0% | 855 | 891.8 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $1.43 | 0.8% | 411 | 429.0 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $1.17 | 0.8% | 512 | 524.4 | 0.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $0.91 | 0.8% | 631 | 674.2 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.66 | 0.8% | 945 | 929.6 | 1.02× |
| [AUG \| Ricochet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-field-tested) | 16.3% | $0.36 | 0.8% | 1,800 | 1781.1 | 1.01× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/162`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=162)

[AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-factory-new) Hidden $7.77 $9.37 1.21x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-field-tested) Hidden $7.77 $0.36 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

[AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-factory-new) Hidden $7.77 $9.37 1.21x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-field-tested) [type shittttt](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/type%20shittttt) $7.77 $0.36 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

[MAG-7 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-factory-new) Hidden $7.77 $13.21 1.70x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-field-tested) Hidden $7.77 $0.36 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

[AUG | Aristocrat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-minimal-wear) [𝕂𝕒𝕞𝕦𝕣 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%82%F0%9D%95%92%F0%9D%95%9E%F0%9D%95%A6%F0%9D%95%A3%20skins.army) $7.77 $1.72 0.22x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

[AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) [User0 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/User0%20skins.army) $7.77 $18.01 2.32x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

[AK-47 | Uncharted (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-minimal-wear) [Green](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Green) $7.77 $0.91 0.12x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-well-worn) Hidden $7.77 $1.17 0.15x 2026-11-11 16:51 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $7.77 | 88.89% | 49 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 4 3.6% restricted 13.0% covert 0.3% classified 11.5% mil spec 22.4% industrial 5.1% #4b69ff 4.2% pink 0.4% #d32ce6 4.3% #d32ee6 3.9% Legendary 4.2% #87c7ff 6.2% #8847ff 12.4% Rare 8.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.89 on average: an expected loss of $11.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt