--- title: "Santiago Cougar case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Santiago Cougar ($433.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 79.66% over 160 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622042 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Santiago Cougar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622042) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Santiago Cougar A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622042?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622042?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622042) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622042?window=all) Price · $433.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 79.66% · 160 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 35 openings · below min 7 days · 145 openings · below min 30 days · 160 openings · below min since tracking started · 160 openings · below min 29.5% 69.3% 109.0% **Small sample.** 160 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622042?window=24h) | 35 | 69.20% ±39.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622042?window=7d) | 145 | 81.30% ±20.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622042) | 160 | 79.66% ±18.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622042?window=all) | 160 | 79.66% ±18.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** G4Skins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $433 $2,031 4.69x 2026-11-11 00:21 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $433 $2,031 4.69x 2026-11-11 00:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $433 $2,031 4.69x 2026-11-09 12:38 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $433 $2,031 4.69x 2026-11-07 14:49 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) [Santiago](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Santiago) $433 $2,031 4.69x 2026-11-06 13:49 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $433 $2,031 4.69x 2026-11-06 13:47 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $433 $2,031 4.69x 2026-11-06 13:47 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $433 $2,031 4.69x 2026-11-06 13:45 UTC [Sticker | Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) Hidden $433 $1,450 3.35x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [Sticker | Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) Hidden $433 $1,450 3.35x 2026-11-09 12:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1622042) [Sticker | Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) Hidden $433 $1,450 3.35x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [AUG | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $433 $448 1.03x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) Hidden $433 $81.93 0.19x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER | DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-dreamhack-2014) [Santiago](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Santiago) $433 $285 0.66x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) Hidden $433 $282 0.65x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [Sticker | Aim And Fire sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aim-and-fire) Hidden $433 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [M4A4 | Hellfire (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) Hidden $433 $126 0.29x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-battle-scarred) [Santiago](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Santiago) $433 $476 1.10x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER | DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-dreamhack-2014) Hidden $433 $285 0.66x 2026-11-11 14:36 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER | DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-dreamhack-2014) Hidden $433 $285 0.66x 2026-11-11 14:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,031 (4.69x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 79.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $79.66 on average: an expected loss of $20.34 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt