---
title: "M4A1-S Cougar case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "M4A1-S Cougar ($337.70) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 61.60% over 48 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622067
rendered: 2026-11-12T08:07Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [M4A1-S Cougar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622067)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · M4A1-S Cougar

A case on G4Skins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622067?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622067?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622067) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622067?window=all)

Price · $337.70

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 61.60% · 48 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 46 openings · below min

30 days · 48 openings · below min

since tracking started · 48 openings · below min

13.5% 60.3% 107.0%

**Small sample.** 48 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622067?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622067?window=7d) | 46 | 45.28% ±31.1 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622067) | 48 | 61.60% ±44.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622067?window=all) | 48 | 61.60% ±44.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** G4Skins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Knight (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-minimal-wear) Hidden $338 $2,808 8.32x 2026-11-03 18:48 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $338 $1,798 5.32x 2026-11-05 18:04 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $292 $1,314 4.50x 2026-11-10 21:29 UTC

[M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-minimal-wear) Hidden $338 $965 2.86x 2026-11-05 18:20 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1622067)

[M4A1-S | Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) Hidden $292 $13.70 0.05x 2026-11-11 01:25 UTC

[M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) Hidden $292 $7.49 0.03x 2026-11-11 01:25 UTC

[M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) Hidden $292 $123 0.42x 2026-11-11 01:25 UTC

[M4A1-S | Basilisk (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) [ku](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ku) $292 $10.93 0.04x 2026-11-11 01:25 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $292 $1,314 4.50x 2026-11-10 21:29 UTC

[M4A1-S | Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) Hidden $292 $13.70 0.05x 2026-11-10 21:29 UTC

[M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) [Andrew](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Andrew) $292 $70.36 0.24x 2026-11-10 21:29 UTC

[M4A1-S | Basilisk (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-field-tested) Hidden $292 $8.37 0.03x 2026-11-10 20:44 UTC

[M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) [ADM](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ADM) $292 $451 1.55x 2026-11-10 20:44 UTC

[M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) Hidden $292 $0.28 0.00x 2026-11-09 20:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $2,808 (8.32x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 61.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $61.60 on average: an expected loss of $38.40 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
