--- title: "M4A4 Cougar case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "M4A4 Cougar ($365.10) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 124.76% over 81 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622069 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [M4A4 Cougar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622069) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · M4A4 Cougar A case on G4Skins, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622069?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622069?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622069) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622069?window=all) Price · $365.10 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 124.76% · 81 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 19 openings · below min 7 days · 76 openings · below min 30 days · 81 openings · below min since tracking started · 81 openings · below min 30.5% 296.5% 562.5% **Small sample.** 81 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622069?window=24h) | 19 | 297.68% ±264.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622069?window=7d) | 76 | 110.14% ±79.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622069) | 81 | 124.76% ±81.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622069?window=all) | 81 | 124.76% ±81.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** G4Skins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $341 $5,432 15.94x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) [twitch.tv/kosior\_777](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/twitch.tv%2Fkosior_777) $341 $5,432 15.94x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) [Andrew](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Andrew) $341 $5,432 15.94x 2026-11-10 21:29 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) [twitch.tv/kosior\_777](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/twitch.tv%2Fkosior_777) $365 $5,409 14.81x 2026-11-05 18:10 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) [Malina00 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Malina00%20skins.army) $365 $5,409 14.81x 2026-11-04 16:36 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) [adamnicho](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/adamnicho) $341 $1,253 3.68x 2026-11-11 14:43 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) Hidden $341 $1,253 3.68x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) Hidden $341 $1,253 3.68x 2026-11-09 20:14 UTC [M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) [FREE SKINY-FRYTQQ YT](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/FREE%20SKINY-FRYTQQ%20YT) $365 $623 1.71x 2026-11-04 16:10 UTC [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [Instagram Kosior.777](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Instagram%20Kosior.777) $341 $600 1.76x 2026-11-07 17:52 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1622069) [M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $341 $0.14 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:43 UTC [M4A4 | Tornado (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tornado-field-tested) Hidden $341 $8.14 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:43 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) [adamnicho](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/adamnicho) $341 $1,253 3.68x 2026-11-11 14:43 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) Hidden $341 $1,253 3.68x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $341 $5,432 15.94x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [M4A4 | Tornado (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tornado-field-tested) Hidden $341 $8.14 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) [✪ g u e s t ✪](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%9C%AA%20g%20u%20e%20s%20t%20%E2%9C%AA) $341 $7.60 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [M4A4 | Griffin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-field-tested) Hidden $341 $3.28 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-x-ray-field-tested) Hidden $341 $86.38 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-field-tested) Hidden $341 $44.67 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $5,432 (15.94x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 124.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $124.76 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt