---
title: "Pain Cougar case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Pain Cougar ($53.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.19% over 62 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622106
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Pain Cougar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622106)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Pain Cougar

A case on G4Skins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622106?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622106?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622106) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622106?window=all)

Price · $53.50

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.19% · 62 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 10 openings · below min

7 days · 55 openings · below min

30 days · 62 openings · below min

since tracking started · 62 openings · below min

42.0% 75.8% 109.5%

**Small sample.** 62 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622106?window=24h) | 10 | 62.74% ±19.9 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622106?window=7d) | 55 | 89.21% ±19.8 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622106) | 62 | 87.19% ±18.3 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622106?window=all) | 62 | 87.19% ±18.3 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** G4Skins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1622106)

[M4A4 | Cyber Security (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-well-worn) Hidden $53.50 $23.51 0.44x 2026-11-11 14:51 UTC

[AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-minimal-wear) Hidden $53.50 $24.91 0.47x 2026-11-11 14:51 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-factory-new) [KURI](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KURI) $53.50 $18.43 0.34x 2026-11-11 14:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) Hidden $53.50 $67.88 1.27x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $53.50 $40.07 0.75x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) Hidden $53.50 $20.82 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[Galil AR | Dusk Ruins (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-factory-new) [adamnicho](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/adamnicho) $53.50 $43.42 0.81x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-devourer-well-worn) Hidden $53.50 $10.96 0.20x 2026-11-11 04:27 UTC

[MAC-10 | Curse (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-curse-well-worn) Hidden $53.50 $35.83 0.67x 2026-11-11 04:27 UTC

[M4A1-S | Control Panel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-minimal-wear) [nesTy](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/nesTy) $53.50 $49.83 0.93x 2026-11-11 04:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.19 on average: an expected loss of $12.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
