---
title: "Ache Cougar case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Ache Cougar ($28.40) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.88% over 278 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622118
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:08Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Ache Cougar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622118)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Ache Cougar

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622118?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622118?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622118) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622118?window=all)

Price · $28.40

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.88% · 278 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 33 openings · below min

7 days · 201 openings · below min

30 days · 278 openings · below min

since tracking started · 278 openings · below min

62.5% 145.3% 228.0%

**Small sample.** 278 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622118?window=24h) | 33 | 145.14% ±82.0 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622118?window=7d) | 201 | 88.99% ±23.9 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622118) | 278 | 91.88% ±20.2 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1622118?window=all) | 278 | 91.88% ±20.2 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** G4Skins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1622118)

[Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fall-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $28.40 $272 9.56x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

[M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) [twitch.tv/kosior\_777](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/twitch.tv%2Fkosior_777) $28.40 $21.05 0.74x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

[XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-factory-new) Hidden $28.40 $15.88 0.56x 2026-11-11 12:16 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) [Tunc Wur](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Tunc%20Wur) $28.40 $0.45 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:16 UTC

[AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) Hidden $28.40 $8.37 0.29x 2026-11-11 09:35 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fall-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $28.40 $272 9.56x 2026-11-11 09:35 UTC

[M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-factory-new) [Tunc Wur](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Tunc%20Wur) $28.40 $134 4.70x 2026-11-11 09:35 UTC

[AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-field-tested) Hidden $28.40 $6.86 0.24x 2026-11-11 05:30 UTC

[M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.40 $21.37 0.75x 2026-11-11 05:30 UTC

[AWP | Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) [nesTy](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/nesTy) $28.40 $30.73 1.08x 2026-11-11 05:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.88 on average: an expected loss of $8.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
