---
title: "Harvest Reaper case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Harvest Reaper ($15.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.95% from 33 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1634771
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Harvest Reaper](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1634771)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Harvest Reaper

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1634771?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1634771?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1634771) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1634771?window=all)

Price · $15.00

Advertised RTP · 88.95% · EV $13.34 from 33 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 6.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1634771?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1634771?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1634771) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1634771?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,030 | $787 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 2,273 | $591 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 2,083 | $535 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,961 | $504 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,282 | $332 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,124 | $291 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 1,031 | $267 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 893 | $230 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 775 | $200 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 606 | $157 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 328 | $128 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 324 | $126 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $122 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-well-worn) | 1 in 298 | $116 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-well-worn) | 1 in 287 | $112 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 281 | $109 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 243 | $94.61 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 238 | $92.72 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 212 | $82.81 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 173 | $67.61 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 145 | $56.67 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $43.13 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 82 | $31.80 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $26.84 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $23.65 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $23.49 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $21.70 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $18.54 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Just Smile (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $0.58 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.55 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.55 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Slag (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-slag-well-worn) | 20.6% | $0.24 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Mockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-mockingbird-field-tested) | 32.4% | $0.17 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1634771`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1634771)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $15.00 | 88.95% | 33 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.7% covert 3.6% sunny 0.1% #ffd700 0.4% classified 15.5% restricted 0.5% Mythical 1.2% #d32ee6 4.1% pink 5.9% violet 9.9% blue 5.1% #4b69ff 53.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.95 on average: an expected loss of $11.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt