--- title: "Azure Ovation case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Azure Ovation ($2.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.48% from 25 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635076 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Azure Ovation](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635076) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Azure Ovation A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635076?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635076?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635076) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635076?window=all) Price · $2.00 Advertised RTP · 87.48% · EV $1.75 from 25 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 4.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635076?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635076?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635076) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635076?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $286 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50,000 | $213 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $177 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $158 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25,000 | $132 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 25,000 | $132 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $115 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20,000 | $100 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Chameleon (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-field-tested) | 1 in 16,667 | $83.04 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $72.74 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $48.42 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $28.19 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,167 | $21.40 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 77 | $16.34 | 12.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) | 1 in 148 | $12.80 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 51 | $10.77 | 12.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-battle-scarred) | 1 in 47 | $9.98 | 12.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) | 1 in 106 | $9.16 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $6.24 | 12.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $6.19 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $5.97 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $5.48 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [XM1014 \| XOXO (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $4.77 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $3.65 | 12.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Negev \| Drop Me (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-battle-scarred) | 77.4% | $0.13 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635076`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635076) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.00 | 87.48% | 25 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% classified 7.1% restricted 2.0% pink 0.9% #d32ee6 5.2% Legendary 1.4% Mythical 5.8% #4b69ff 77.4% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.48 on average: an expected loss of $12.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt