--- title: "Access Override case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Access Override ($1.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.89% from 23 items with odds, observed 84.23% over 47.6K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635091 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Access Override](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635091) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Access Override A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635091?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635091?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635091) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635091?window=all) Price · $1.00 Advertised RTP · 88.89% · EV $0.89 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.23% · 47.6K openings, odds method Variance · 35.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 95 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.96% ±15.43 5,770 openings 7 days · 83.88% ±6.00 38.6K openings 30 days · 84.23% ±5.48 47.6K openings since tracking started · 84.23% ±5.48 47.6K openings 72.0% 88.0% 104.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635091?window=24h) | 5,770 | 87.96% ±15.4 | −0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635091?window=7d) | 38.6K | 83.88% ±6.00 | −1.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635091) | 47.6K | 84.23% ±5.48 | −1.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635091?window=all) | 47.6K | 84.23% ±5.48 | −1.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 47.7K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 3,333 | $126 | 4.3% | 10 | 14.3 | 0.70× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,857 | $111 | 4.4% | 8 | 16.7 | 0.48× | | [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,351 | $52.23 | 4.3% | 34 | 35.3 | 0.96× | | [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 1,176 | $45.30 | 4.3% | 34 | 40.5 | 0.84× | | [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,136 | $43.97 | 4.4% | 38 | 42.0 | 0.91× | | [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,075 | $41.61 | 4.4% | 55 | 44.4 | 1.24× | | [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 990 | $38.23 | 4.3% | 44 | 48.2 | 0.91× | | [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 952 | $36.69 | 4.3% | 62 | 50.1 | 1.24× | | [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 943 | $36.47 | 4.3% | 41 | 50.6 | 0.81× | | [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-well-worn) | 1 in 935 | $36.27 | 4.4% | 48 | 51.0 | 0.94× | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 885 | $34.31 | 4.4% | 53 | 53.9 | 0.98× | | [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 885 | $34.22 | 4.4% | 42 | 53.9 | 0.78× | | [M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-battle-scarred) | 1 in 877 | $34.03 | 4.4% | 57 | 54.4 | 1.05× | | [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 855 | $33.14 | 4.4% | 49 | 55.8 | 0.88× | | [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Well-Worn) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-well-worn) | 1 in 847 | $32.66 | 4.3% | 47 | 56.3 | 0.84× | | [M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-field-tested) | 1 in 826 | $32.01 | 4.4% | 49 | 57.7 | 0.85× | | [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-battle-scarred) | 1 in 794 | $30.55 | 4.3% | 59 | 60.1 | 0.98× | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) | 1 in 787 | $30.34 | 4.3% | 56 | 60.6 | 0.92× | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 787 | $30.31 | 4.3% | 65 | 60.6 | 1.07× | | [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 775 | $30.05 | 4.4% | 63 | 61.5 | 1.02× | | [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 775 | $29.95 | 4.3% | 57 | 61.5 | 0.93× | | [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 704 | $27.19 | 4.3% | 63 | 67.7 | 0.93× | | [AUG \| Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) | 97.7% | $0.04 | 4.4% | 46,655 | 46592.2 | 1.00× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635091`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) [wkdirjsj\_skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/wkdirjsj_skins.army) $1.00 $171 170.7x 2026-11-03 15:06 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) [Mrysiak](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mrysiak) $1.00 $140 140.1x 2026-11-04 21:12 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) Hidden $1.00 $140 140.1x 2026-11-03 00:54 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) Hidden $1.00 $126 126.1x 2026-11-11 14:14 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) [kacperskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kacperskins.army) $1.00 $126 126.1x 2026-11-10 17:41 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) Hidden $1.00 $126 126.1x 2026-11-07 21:53 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) Hidden $1.00 $126 126.1x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) [View™](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/View%E2%84%A2) $1.00 $126 126.1x 2026-11-07 14:19 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) [Wykręcony Joint](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Wykr%C4%99cony%20Joint) $1.00 $126 126.1x 2026-11-06 07:58 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) [uziwyjeba](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/uziwyjeba) $1.00 $126 126.1x 2026-11-05 21:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635091) [AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) [Wykręcony Joint](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Wykr%C4%99cony%20Joint) $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) [Wykręcony Joint](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Wykr%C4%99cony%20Joint) $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) [Wykręcony Joint](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Wykr%C4%99cony%20Joint) $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 5 Nov, 18:07 UTC | $1.00 | 88.89% | 23 | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.00 | 89.20% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.8% Covert 0.2% Ancient 0.6% red 0.7% consumer 97.7% best hit $171 (170.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.89 on average: an expected loss of $11.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt