--- title: "Buy And Load case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Buy And Load ($4.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.12% from 23 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635095 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Buy And Load](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635095) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Buy And Load A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635095?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635095?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635095) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635095?window=all) Price · $4.00 Advertised RTP · 89.12% · EV $3.56 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 7.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 21 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 66.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635095?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635095?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635095) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635095?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 1,887 | $162 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,587 | $136 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,538 | $133 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-well-worn) | 1 in 1,538 | $132 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,515 | $130 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,176 | $101 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 971 | $83.06 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-minimal-wear) | 1 in 388 | $58.13 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 356 | $53.47 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 231 | $34.64 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Splash (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-field-tested) | 1 in 188 | $28.15 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-field-tested) | 1 in 187 | $28.04 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Carved Jade (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-carved-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 170 | $25.56 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | ['The Doctor' Romanov \| Sabre agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-doctor-romanov-sabre) | 1 in 119 | $17.91 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Nitro (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-nitro-battle-scarred) | 1 in 116 | $17.42 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-factory-new) | 1 in 82 | $12.36 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-well-worn) | 1 in 74 | $11.03 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $8.71 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-praetorian-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $6.97 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $6.78 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $4.10 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $4.00 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Aim And Fire sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aim-and-fire) | 66.9% | $0.05 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635095`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635095) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 89.12% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.6% extraordinary 0.3% #ffd700 0.1% Ancient 0.4% restricted 7.2% blue 0.5% mil spec 1.4% red 0.8% violet 3.3% Uncommon 4.2% classified 14.1% #4b69ff 66.9% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.12 on average: an expected loss of $10.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt