---
title: "Skins Rush case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Skins Rush ($9.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.87% from 32 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635096
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Skins Rush](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635096)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Skins Rush

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635096?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635096?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635096) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635096?window=all)

Price · $9.00

Advertised RTP · 88.87% · EV $8.00 from 32 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 7.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635096?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635096?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635096) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635096?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,439 | $513 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,471 | $313 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 1,370 | $290 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,205 | $256 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 1,163 | $248 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 917 | $195 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 893 | $190 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 446 | $94.68 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 275 | $82.58 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-well-worn) | 1 in 248 | $74.31 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 194 | $58.15 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 187 | $56.14 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 175 | $52.60 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 172 | $51.57 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 1 in 132 | $39.45 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 126 | $37.88 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 121 | $36.26 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Syndicate (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-syndicate-factory-new) | 1 in 68 | $20.48 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $16.97 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $16.17 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $16.13 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $13.85 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $13.60 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $9.88 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-well-worn) | 1 in 223 | $7.43 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| PAW (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $2.35 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-well-worn) | 1 in 68 | $2.27 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $1.50 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $1.32 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-decommissioned-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $1.20 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Forest Night (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-battle-scarred) | 15.8% | $0.24 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Army Recon (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-army-recon-minimal-wear) | 43.9% | $0.03 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635096`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635096)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $9.00 | 88.87% | 32 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed red 0.0% covert 1.2% classified 8.3% gold 0.9% extraordinary 0.9% restricted 12.4% #8847ff 1.5% light blue 3.1% industrial 3.7% Mythical 1.4% common 1.5% #4b69ff 2.5% mil spec 2.8% #777777 59.7%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.87 on average: an expected loss of $11.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt