---
title: "Hiker case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Hiker ($4.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.89% from 28 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635101
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Hiker](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635101)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Hiker

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635101?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635101?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635101) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635101?window=all)

Price · $4.50

Advertised RTP · 88.89% · EV $4.00 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 16.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635101?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635101?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635101) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635101?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,674 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 12,500 | $645 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 4,545 | $311 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,326 | $272 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 3,125 | $190 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,326 | $153 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-factory-new) | 1 in 1,087 | $152 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 840 | $107 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,316 | $95.14 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 606 | $48.38 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 629 | $44.95 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $39.37 | 13.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 417 | $37.26 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Charm \| Hot Wurst charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-wurst) | 1 in 521 | $32.76 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ['Blueberries' Buckshot \| NSWC SEAL agent · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/blueberries-buckshot-nswc-seal) | 1 in 299 | $25.15 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 339 | $24.18 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 225 | $23.17 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tread Plate (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $21.95 | 11.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-field-tested) | 1 in 281 | $20.50 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ['The Doctor' Romanov \| Sabre agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-doctor-romanov-sabre) | 1 in 234 | $18.71 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-field-tested) | 1 in 177 | $15.03 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 89 | $10.15 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tread Plate (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $7.19 | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $6.55 | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $4.21 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $1.56 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $1.44 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Aim And Fire sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aim-and-fire) | 74.3% | $0.58 | 10.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635101`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635101)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.50 | 88.89% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 0.0% legendary 0.0% covert 0.1% Legendary 5.5% extraordinary 0.0% restricted 0.1% mil spec 0.3% rare 1.2% Ancient 0.2% #4b69ff 75.7% red 0.7% #eb4b4b 0.2% violet 0.3% classified 0.7% #8847ff 12.8% Classified 0.4% #d32ee6 0.6% Mythical 1.3%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.89 on average: an expected loss of $11.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt