--- title: "UMP-45 Cougar case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "UMP-45 Cougar ($34.20) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 96.05% over 161 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635120 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [UMP-45 Cougar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635120) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · UMP-45 Cougar A case on G4Skins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635120?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635120?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635120) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635120?window=all) Price · $34.20 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 96.05% · 161 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 21 openings · below min 7 days · 140 openings · below min 30 days · 161 openings · below min since tracking started · 161 openings · below min 3.5% 67.8% 132.0% **Small sample.** 161 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635120?window=24h) | 21 | 67.79% ±63.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635120?window=7d) | 140 | 86.41% ±29.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635120) | 161 | 96.05% ±29.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635120?window=all) | 161 | 96.05% ±29.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** G4Skins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635120) [UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) Hidden $30.80 $1.54 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-bone-pile-field-tested) [Andrew](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Andrew) $30.80 $4.63 0.15x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-riot-field-tested) Hidden $30.80 $0.61 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:00 UTC [UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-field-tested) [Andrew](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Andrew) $30.80 $0.48 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:00 UTC [UMP-45 | Indigo (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-indigo-field-tested) Hidden $30.80 $2.04 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-battle-scarred) [twitch.tv/kosior\_777](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/twitch.tv%2Fkosior_777) $30.80 $148 4.81x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-field-tested) Hidden $30.80 $1.55 0.05x 2026-11-11 05:46 UTC [UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-factory-new) Hidden $30.80 $2.12 0.07x 2026-11-11 05:46 UTC [UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-factory-new) [hvjson666](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/hvjson666) $30.80 $1.66 0.05x 2026-11-11 05:46 UTC [UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-bone-pile-minimal-wear) [nesTy](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/nesTy) $30.80 $6.12 0.20x 2026-11-11 05:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 96.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $96.05 on average: an expected loss of $3.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt