---
title: "MAC-10 Cougar case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "MAC-10 Cougar ($41.30) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 74.34% over 370 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635123
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [MAC-10 Cougar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635123)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · MAC-10 Cougar

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635123?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635123?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635123) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635123?window=all)

Price · $41.30

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 74.34% · 370 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 42 openings · below min

7 days · 299 openings · below min

30 days · 370 openings · below min

since tracking started · 370 openings · below min

52.0% 85.5% 119.0%

**Small sample.** 370 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635123?window=24h) | 42 | 85.40% ±32.9 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635123?window=7d) | 299 | 72.83% ±12.8 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635123) | 370 | 74.34% ±11.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635123?window=all) | 370 | 74.34% ±11.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** G4Skins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635123)

[MAC-10 | Button Masher (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-factory-new) Hidden $34.10 $2.98 0.09x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC

[MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-factory-new) Hidden $34.10 $11.70 0.34x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC

[MAC-10 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) [ohniretnuH Katujemy.eu](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ohniretnuH%20Katujemy.eu) $34.10 $38.94 1.14x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC

[MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) Hidden $34.10 $60.19 1.77x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC

[MAC-10 | Button Masher (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-factory-new) [Haram Masari](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Haram%20Masari) $34.10 $2.98 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC

[MAC-10 | Propaganda (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-factory-new) Hidden $34.10 $64.20 1.88x 2026-11-11 19:33 UTC

[MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) [Haram Masari](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Haram%20Masari) $34.10 $134 3.93x 2026-11-11 19:33 UTC

[MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-factory-new) Hidden $34.10 $26.50 0.78x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC

[MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-factory-new) [User0 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/User0%20skins.army) $34.10 $51.16 1.50x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC

[MAC-10 | Last Dive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-field-tested) Hidden $34.10 $1.40 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.34 on average: an expected loss of $25.66 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
