---
title: "Golden Claus case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Golden Claus ($4.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.07% from 32 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635129
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:49Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Golden Claus](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635129)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Golden Claus

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635129?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635129?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635129) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635129?window=all)

Price · $4.00

Advertised RTP · 89.07% · EV $3.56 from 32 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 7.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635129?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635129?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635129) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635129?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 2,941 | $244 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,083 | $169 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,754 | $144 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 1,639 | $135 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 1,639 | $133 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $116 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 813 | $66.42 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $62.89 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 1 in 524 | $42.74 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Serum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 521 | $42.52 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 503 | $41.14 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 472 | $38.44 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 446 | $36.31 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Nemesis (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-factory-new) | 1 in 269 | $21.91 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 246 | $20.07 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-battle-scarred) | 1 in 201 | $16.35 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 191 | $15.58 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 185 | $15.07 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 159 | $12.99 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Antique (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-minimal-wear) | 1 in 144 | $11.74 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 120 | $9.78 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Briefing (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 117 | $9.52 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $9.02 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Tatter (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tatter-field-tested) | 1 in 110 | $9.00 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-well-worn) | 1 in 106 | $8.60 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Stinger (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-stinger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $8.05 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Urban Shock (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $7.95 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $7.08 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $6.74 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $6.69 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $4.72 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Aim And Fire sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aim-and-fire) | 68.0% | $0.05 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635129`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635129)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 89.07% | 32 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 8.4% extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.2% mil spec 0.2% red 0.2% Industrial Grade 0.5% #8847ff 4.2% violet 3.9% Rare 0.9% restricted 8.7% #d32ee6 4.7% #4b69ff 68.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.07 on average: an expected loss of $10.93 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt