--- title: "Data Blitz case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Data Blitz ($250.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.82% from 22 items with odds, observed 85.24% over 117 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635151 rendered: 2026-11-11T18:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Data Blitz](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635151) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Data Blitz A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635151?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635151?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635151) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635151?window=all) Price · $250.00 Advertised RTP · 86.82% · EV $217.05 from 22 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.24% · 117 openings, odds method Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 100.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 11 openings · below min 7 days · 99 openings · below min 30 days · 85.24% ±9.92 117 openings since tracking started · 85.24% ±9.92 117 openings 55.5% 88.5% 121.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635151?window=24h) | 11 | 88.71% ±32.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635151?window=7d) | 99 | 86.56% ±10.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635151) | 117 | 85.24% ±9.92 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635151?window=all) | 117 | 85.24% ±9.92 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 117 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $5,421 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 3,704 | $3,145 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,703 | $2,239 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) | 1 in 1,471 | $1,217 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 1,299 | $1,084 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 1,149 | $956 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 877 | $729 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) | 1 in 862 | $721 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 806 | $673 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| CMYK (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-factory-new) | 1 in 758 | $633 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 694 | $578 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 680 | $569 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $499 | 4.9% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.80× | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $450 | 4.9% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $384 | 4.9% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.61× | | [AK-47 \| AUTOEXEC (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-autoexec-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $343 | 4.9% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.10× | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $311 | 4.9% | 2 | 4.0 | 0.50× | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $299 | 4.9% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.96× | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $291 | 4.9% | 9 | 4.3 | 2.10× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $289 | 4.9% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.39× | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $260 | 4.9% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.83× | | [Glock-18 \| Ghost Protocol (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-battle-scarred) | 70.0% | $159 | 51.2% | 81 | 82.0 | 0.99× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635151`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $250 $721 2.88x 2026-11-09 20:12 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) Hidden $250 $578 2.31x 2026-11-05 22:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635151) [Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-battle-scarred) Hidden $250 $159 0.63x 2026-11-11 16:31 UTC [Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-battle-scarred) [Diabeuu](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Diabeuu) $250 $159 0.63x 2026-11-11 16:31 UTC [Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-battle-scarred) Hidden $250 $159 0.63x 2026-11-11 16:30 UTC [Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-battle-scarred) [Diabeuu](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Diabeuu) $250 $159 0.63x 2026-11-11 16:30 UTC [AK-47 | X-Ray (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-well-worn) Hidden $250 $499 2.00x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-battle-scarred) Hidden $250 $159 0.63x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) [KURI](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KURI) $250 $289 1.15x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) Hidden $250 $384 1.53x 2026-11-10 19:54 UTC [Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-battle-scarred) [ZaMocnoSkuty](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ZaMocnoSkuty) $250 $159 0.63x 2026-11-10 19:54 UTC [Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-battle-scarred) Hidden $250 $159 0.63x 2026-11-10 19:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $250 | 86.82% | 22 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 96.2% #eb4b4b 0.1% Covert 3.7% best hit $721 (2.88x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.82 on average: an expected loss of $13.18 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt