--- title: "Cyber Burst case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cyber Burst ($310.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 85.90% from 17 items with odds, observed 81.24% over 108 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635152 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Cyber Burst](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635152) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Cyber Burst A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635152?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635152?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635152) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635152?window=all) Price · $310.00 Advertised RTP · 85.90% · EV $266.30 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.24% · 108 openings, odds method Variance · 8.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 22 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 25 openings · below min 7 days · 94 openings · below min 30 days · 108 openings · below min since tracking started · 108 openings · below min -0.5% 100.0% 200.5% **Small sample.** 108 openings and 5.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635152?window=24h) | 25 | 82.60% ±117.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635152?window=7d) | 94 | 84.44% ±60.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635152) | 108 | 81.24% ±56.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635152?window=all) | 108 | 81.24% ±56.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 108 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 1,449 | $17.5K | 4.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 885 | $13.6K | 5.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) | 1 in 694 | $10.5K | 5.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 368 | $5,698 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 311 | $5,413 | 6.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 248 | $2,718 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 166 | $2,036 | 4.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 222 | $1,701 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 164 | $1,699 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 163 | $1,408 | 3.3% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) | 1 in 98 | $1,217 | 4.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) | 1 in 102 | $1,183 | 4.4% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.88× | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $1,126 | 3.8% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 95 | $1,004 | 4.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.76× | | [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 89 | $729 | 3.1% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [AWP \| LongDog (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-factory-new) | 1 in 75 | $506 | 2.5% | 6 | 1.4 | 4.17× | | [AUG \| Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) | 90.0% | $90.33 | 30.5% | 93 | 97.2 | 0.96× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635152`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $310 $5,413 17.46x 2026-11-10 18:19 UTC [AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) [Speedy Gonzalez](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Speedy%20Gonzalez) $310 $2,036 6.57x 2026-11-10 18:01 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) [mrouZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mrouZ) $310 $1,408 4.54x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) [ADM](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ADM) $310 $1,408 4.54x 2026-11-10 20:23 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $310 $1,183 3.82x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $310 $1,183 3.82x 2026-11-08 20:58 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) Hidden $310 $1,126 3.63x 2026-11-04 20:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) Hidden $310 $1,004 3.24x 2026-11-07 23:51 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) Hidden $310 $1,004 3.24x 2026-11-04 17:27 UTC [AWP | LongDog (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-factory-new) [KURI](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KURI) $310 $506 1.63x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635152) [AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) Hidden $310 $90.33 0.29x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) [Andrew](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Andrew) $310 $90.33 0.29x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) [mrouZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mrouZ) $310 $1,408 4.54x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $310 $1,183 3.82x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) Hidden $310 $90.33 0.29x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [AWP | LongDog (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-factory-new) [KURI](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KURI) $310 $506 1.63x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) Hidden $310 $90.33 0.29x 2026-11-10 23:41 UTC [AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) Hidden $310 $90.33 0.29x 2026-11-10 23:41 UTC [AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) [KURI](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KURI) $310 $90.33 0.29x 2026-11-10 23:41 UTC [AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) Hidden $310 $90.33 0.29x 2026-11-10 22:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $310 | 85.90% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% covert 98.6% red 1.3% best hit $5,413 (17.46x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.90 on average: an expected loss of $14.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt