--- title: "Brutal Set case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Brutal Set ($1.80) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.09% from 26 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635168 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Brutal Set](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635168) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Brutal Set A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635168?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635168?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635168) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635168?window=all) Price · $1.80 Advertised RTP · 89.09% · EV $1.60 from 26 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 5.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635168?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635168?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635168) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635168?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AUG \| Chameleon (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-field-tested) | 1 in 2,041 | $88.97 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Carved Jade (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-carved-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 917 | $40.03 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Splash (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-splash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 917 | $40.01 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 813 | $35.37 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) | 1 in 719 | $31.40 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 617 | $26.97 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 581 | $25.29 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 529 | $23.06 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | ['Blueberries' Buckshot \| NSWC SEAL agent · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/blueberries-buckshot-nswc-seal) | 1 in 510 | $22.26 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 461 | $20.09 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 433 | $18.88 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 362 | $15.79 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 345 | $15.03 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Nova \| Antique (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-minimal-wear) | 1 in 262 | $11.42 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-battle-scarred) | 1 in 247 | $10.76 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [G3SG1 \| Stinger (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-stinger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $5.58 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) | 1 in 123 | $5.38 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Negev \| Power Loader (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $5.01 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $4.68 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Griffin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $4.33 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $4.32 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $3.51 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Heat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $3.38 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [XM1014 \| Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-teclu-burner-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $3.27 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $2.17 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-field-tested) | 74.3% | $0.16 | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635168`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635168) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.80 | 89.09% | 26 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% mil spec 0.9% restricted 5.1% Classified 0.1% classified 0.9% Legendary 0.2% violet 1.8% industrial 2.5% #4b69ff 0.2% #d32ee6 0.4% #8847ff 8.9% blue 4.6% light blue 74.3% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.09 on average: an expected loss of $10.91 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt