---
title: "Power Balance case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Power Balance ($20.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.75% from 30 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635171
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Power Balance](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635171)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Power Balance

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635171?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635171?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635171) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635171?window=all)

Price · $20.00

Advertised RTP · 88.75% · EV $17.75 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635171?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635171?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635171) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635171?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-well-worn) | 1 in 935 | $446 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) | 1 in 763 | $364 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-field-tested) | 1 in 581 | $276 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 578 | $276 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 457 | $217 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 368 | $175 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 311 | $148 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-the-kraken-factory-new) | 1 in 243 | $116 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 226 | $108 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 219 | $104 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 213 | $102 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 209 | $99.39 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 173 | $82.26 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 138 | $65.82 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Red Leather (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-red-leather-minimal-wear) | 1 in 129 | $61.25 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $59.41 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Business Class (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-business-class-well-worn) | 1 in 65 | $45.69 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-modern-hunter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 64 | $44.52 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-well-worn) | 1 in 63 | $43.85 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $41.72 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Ossified (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ossified-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $37.52 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $30.39 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $29.21 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $27.97 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $27.44 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $23.06 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $9.43 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) | 18.4% | $4.35 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Heat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-field-tested) | 21.7% | $3.38 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-hive-minimal-wear) | 23.9% | $3.33 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635171`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635171)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $20.00 | 88.75% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 2.3% classified 8.7% extraordinary 0.2% #eb4b4b 0.4% mil spec 28.5% #ffd700 0.7% blue 1.6% restricted 22.4% industrial 2.5% Mil Spec Grade 2.6% #4b69ff 8.5% #8847ff 21.7%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.75 on average: an expected loss of $11.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt