--- title: "SWEETHEART case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "SWEETHEART ($26.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.78% from 27 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635176 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [SWEETHEART](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635176) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · SWEETHEART A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635176?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635176?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635176) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635176?window=all) Price · $26.00 Advertised RTP · 88.78% · EV $23.08 from 27 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635176?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635176?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635176) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635176?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $511 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,818 | $385 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,639 | $351 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 1,266 | $268 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,205 | $255 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 943 | $201 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 862 | $184 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 158 | $174 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 763 | $162 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-well-worn) | 1 in 105 | $115 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-well-worn) | 1 in 102 | $113 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 91 | $100 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 86 | $94.55 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 85 | $93.82 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $88.26 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 79 | $87.08 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $81.20 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $77.11 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 64 | $70.65 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 37 | $47.97 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SG 553 \| Integrale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $34.61 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $31.19 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $24.19 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $22.49 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $20.43 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $19.60 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) | 52.1% | $0.54 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635176`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635176) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $26.00 | 88.78% | 27 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 8.8% sunny 0.1% extraordinary 1.9% restricted 1.2% classified 18.3% #ffd700 1.6% Mythical 4.1% #d32ee6 5.7% pink 6.3% blue 52.1% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.78 on average: an expected loss of $11.22 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt