---
title: "Ruby case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Ruby ($75.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.91% from 43 items with odds, observed 65.04% over 1,451 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635179
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635179)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Ruby

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635179?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635179?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635179) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635179?window=all)

Price · $75.00

Advertised RTP · 88.91% · EV $66.69 from 43 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 65.04% · 1,451 openings, odds method

Variance · 24.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 54 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 101 openings · below min

7 days · 62.35% ±26.90 1,284 openings

30 days · 65.04% ±25.30 1,451 openings

since tracking started · 65.04% ±25.30 1,451 openings

-0.5% 66.5% 133.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635179?window=24h) | 101 | 36.74% ±95.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635179?window=7d) | 1,284 | 62.35% ±26.9 | −1.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635179) | 1,451 | 65.04% ±25.3 | −1.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635179?window=all) | 1,451 | 65.04% ±25.3 | −1.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,451 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 7,692 | $11.9K | 2.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 7,692 | $11.7K | 2.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 7,143 | $10.7K | 2.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 5,882 | $8,833 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 5,556 | $8,636 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 2,326 | $3,477 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,174 | $3,267 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · #ffd700 · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 2,128 | $3,228 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,695 | $2,556 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 1,639 | $2,466 | 2.3% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 1,538 | $2,318 | 2.3% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 1,333 | $2,014 | 2.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,299 | $1,957 | 2.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.79× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,266 | $1,910 | 2.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,124 | $1,692 | 2.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 1,099 | $1,669 | 2.3% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 833 | $1,258 | 2.3% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.57× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 769 | $1,163 | 2.3% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 709 | $1,071 | 2.3% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 690 | $1,045 | 2.3% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 633 | $959 | 2.3% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 565 | $855 | 2.3% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.56× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 541 | $819 | 2.3% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.75× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 529 | $798 | 2.3% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.36× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 524 | $793 | 2.3% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.44× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 521 | $788 | 2.3% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.44× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 405 | $611 | 2.3% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.84× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 385 | $582 | 2.3% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.53× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 339 | $512 | 2.3% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.40× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 336 | $507 | 2.3% | 7 | 4.3 | 1.62× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 270 | $409 | 2.3% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.93× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 260 | $392 | 2.3% | 7 | 5.6 | 1.25× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 204 | $308 | 2.3% | 5 | 7.1 | 0.70× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $267 | 2.8% | 12 | 10.1 | 1.19× |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 110 | $204 | 2.8% | 16 | 13.2 | 1.21× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 103 | $190 | 2.8% | 13 | 14.1 | 0.92× |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $143 | 2.8% | 22 | 18.8 | 1.17× |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 70 | $129 | 2.8% | 19 | 20.8 | 0.91× |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $91.69 | 2.8% | 23 | 29.4 | 0.78× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $75.44 | 2.8% | 38 | 35.7 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $52.79 | 2.8% | 71 | 51.0 | 1.39× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $40.51 | 2.8% | 60 | 66.5 | 0.90× |
| [Charm \| Lil' Cap Gun charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cap-gun) | 77.3% | $0.10 | 0.1% | 1,117 | 1122.1 | 1.00× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635179`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) [Santiago](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Santiago) $75.00 $2,466 32.88x 2026-11-10 13:50 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $75.00 $2,318 30.91x 2026-11-05 02:12 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) [tatazin](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/tatazin) $75.00 $2,014 26.85x 2026-11-10 13:50 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $75.00 $1,957 26.09x 2026-11-04 16:25 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [FREE SKINY-FRYTQQ YT](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/FREE%20SKINY-FRYTQQ%20YT) $75.00 $1,957 26.09x 2026-11-04 16:05 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $75.00 $1,692 22.56x 2026-11-06 22:00 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [♿Ali5Cali♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%99%BFAli5Cali%E2%99%BF) $75.00 $1,258 16.77x 2026-11-10 13:52 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $75.00 $1,163 15.50x 2026-11-06 22:47 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $75.00 $1,045 13.94x 2026-11-08 03:24 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $75.00 $959 12.79x 2026-11-05 17:39 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635179)

[Charm | Lil' Cap Gun charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cap-gun) Hidden $75.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:27 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Cap Gun charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cap-gun) [BoA\_Dupczyciel](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/BoA_Dupczyciel) $75.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:27 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Cap Gun charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cap-gun) Hidden $75.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC

[AK-47 | B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) Hidden $75.00 $52.79 0.70x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Cap Gun charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cap-gun) [Mateuszyście](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mateuszy%C5%9Bcie) $75.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC

[AK-47 | B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) Hidden $75.00 $52.79 0.70x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Cap Gun charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cap-gun) Hidden $75.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Cap Gun charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cap-gun) [Mateuszyście](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mateuszy%C5%9Bcie) $75.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC

[AWP | Crakow! (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-minimal-wear) Hidden $75.00 $40.51 0.54x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC

[AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) Hidden $75.00 $75.44 1.01x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $75.00 | 88.91% | 43 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 13.4% #ffd700 0.0% legendary 1.0% gold 0.1% rare 8.1% Rare 77.3% best hit $2,466 (32.88x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.91 on average: an expected loss of $11.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt