---
title: "Emerald case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Emerald ($195.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.81% from 35 items with odds, observed 95.00% over 729 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635182
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:07Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635182)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Emerald

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635182?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635182?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635182) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635182?window=all)

Price · $195.00

Advertised RTP · 88.81% · EV $173.18 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.00% · 729 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 84 openings · below min

7 days · 93.51% ±21.22 681 openings

30 days · 95.00% ±20.51 729 openings

since tracking started · 95.00% ±20.51 729 openings

58.5% 119.5% 180.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635182?window=24h) | 84 | 119.49% ±60.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635182?window=7d) | 681 | 93.51% ±21.2 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635182) | 729 | 95.00% ±20.5 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635182?window=all) | 729 | 95.00% ±20.5 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 729 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 1,667 | $9,388 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,515 | $8,521 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 1,515 | $8,468 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,449 | $8,131 | 3.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,351 | $7,651 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 351 | $1,977 | 3.3% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.96× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 325 | $1,826 | 3.2% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.89× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 303 | $1,703 | 3.2% | 7 | 2.4 | 2.91× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 289 | $1,625 | 3.2% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.19× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 148 | $832 | 3.2% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.01× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 135 | $760 | 3.2% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.74× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 131 | $739 | 3.2% | 6 | 5.5 | 1.08× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 130 | $731 | 3.2% | 9 | 5.6 | 1.61× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 120 | $677 | 3.2% | 13 | 6.1 | 2.15× |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 174 | $660 | 2.2% | 9 | 4.2 | 2.14× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 166 | $631 | 2.2% | 7 | 4.4 | 1.59× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 110 | $617 | 3.2% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.75× |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 150 | $570 | 2.2% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.82× |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $506 | 2.2% | 11 | 5.5 | 2.01× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 88 | $495 | 3.2% | 7 | 8.3 | 0.84× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 122 | $464 | 2.2% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.34× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 81 | $453 | 3.2% | 12 | 9.1 | 1.33× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 77 | $431 | 3.2% | 15 | 9.5 | 1.58× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fall Hazard (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fall-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 98 | $372 | 2.2% | 7 | 7.4 | 0.94× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 62 | $349 | 3.2% | 11 | 11.8 | 0.94× |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 88 | $335 | 2.2% | 6 | 8.3 | 0.73× |
| [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $308 | 2.2% | 6 | 9.0 | 0.67× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) (Emerald) weapon · #eb4b4b · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-well-worn-emerald) | 1 in 51 | $287 | 3.2% | 9 | 14.3 | 0.63× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 46 | $258 | 3.2% | 16 | 15.9 | 1.01× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 45 | $252 | 3.2% | 20 | 16.3 | 1.23× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-emerald) | 1 in 42 | $233 | 3.2% | 16 | 17.6 | 0.91× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) (Emerald) weapon · #eb4b4b · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred-emerald) | 1 in 38 | $212 | 3.2% | 19 | 19.4 | 0.98× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $117 | 2.2% | 25 | 23.6 | 1.06× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-factory-new) | 11.3% | $33.50 | 2.2% | 67 | 82.7 | 0.81× |
| [Charm \| Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) | 55.6% | $0.33 | 0.1% | 397 | 405.3 | 0.98× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635182`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [twitch.tv/kosior\_777](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/twitch.tv%2Fkosior_777) $195 $8,131 41.70x 2026-11-05 17:52 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) [:)](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%3A%29) $195 $1,977 10.14x 2026-11-06 04:44 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $195 $1,977 10.14x 2026-11-05 18:01 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [FilipeQx](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/FilipeQx) $195 $1,826 9.36x 2026-11-07 13:04 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [twitch.tv/kosior\_777](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/twitch.tv%2Fkosior_777) $195 $1,826 9.36x 2026-11-05 17:54 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $195 $1,703 8.73x 2026-11-11 12:52 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $195 $1,703 8.73x 2026-11-10 21:28 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $195 $1,703 8.73x 2026-11-07 13:04 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $195 $1,703 8.73x 2026-11-06 17:11 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $195 $1,703 8.73x 2026-11-05 18:01 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635182)

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $195 $617 3.16x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) Hidden $195 $0.33 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fall-hazard-factory-new) Hidden $195 $372 1.91x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) [Santiago](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Santiago) $195 $0.33 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) Hidden $195 $0.33 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) (Emerald) weapon · #eb4b4b · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-well-worn-emerald) Hidden $195 $287 1.47x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $195 $33.50 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) [Santiago](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Santiago) $195 $0.33 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) Hidden $195 $0.33 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) Hidden $195 $0.33 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $195 | 88.81% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 13.8% restricted 2.7% classified 1.7% red 5.9% #d32ee6 1.1% #eb4b4b 4.6% mil spec 14.6% uncommon 55.6% best hit $8,131 (41.70x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.81 on average: an expected loss of $11.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt