---
title: "Beefy Beast case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Beefy Beast ($7.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.21% from 39 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635196
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Beefy Beast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635196)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Beefy Beast

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635196?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635196?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635196) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635196?window=all)

Price · $7.00

Advertised RTP · 89.21% · EV $6.24 from 39 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 8.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 63.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635196?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635196?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635196) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635196?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $999 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 16,667 | $892 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $660 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $500 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $473 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $404 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $386 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $340 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $310 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 4,000 | $210 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 3,846 | $198 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Field-Tested) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-field-tested) | 1 in 3,704 | $194 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) | 1 in 3,030 | $159 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,941 | $154 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 2,857 | $151 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $131 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-field-tested) | 1 in 2,273 | $118 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 1,695 | $88.91 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $87.01 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 144 | $50.73 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 105 | $36.89 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $29.49 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 70 | $24.69 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $23.39 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $22.76 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $18.24 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $13.95 | 13.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Candy Apple (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-well-worn) | 10.5% | $7.95 | 13.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 10.9% | $7.68 | 13.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 89 | $4.44 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 58 | $2.92 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $1.70 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $1.59 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $0.52 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.23 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.20 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 12.3% | $0.15 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $0.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-field-tested) | 17.3% | $0.09 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635196`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635196)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $7.00 | 89.21% | 39 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed rare 0.0% covert 1.0% extraordinary 0.1% Extraordinary 0.0% classified 7.1% Legendary 1.4% industrial 46.1% Industrial Grade 10.5% mil spec 6.0% Rare 2.9% Uncommon 7.5% #87c7ff 17.3%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.21 on average: an expected loss of $10.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt