---
title: "Doner Delight case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Doner Delight ($100.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.12% from 34 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635198
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Doner Delight](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635198)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Doner Delight

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635198?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635198?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635198) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635198?window=all)

Price · $100.00

Advertised RTP · 89.12% · EV $89.12 from 34 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 6.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635198?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635198?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635198) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635198?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 2,941 | $6,598 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,703 | $6,020 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 1,639 | $3,624 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,316 | $2,926 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 893 | $1,978 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 781 | $1,743 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 413 | $918 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 336 | $747 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 253 | $561 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $477 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 110 | $470 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 104 | $448 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $404 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 91 | $388 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $236 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $220 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $165 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $159 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $148 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $132 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $127 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $114 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $110 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 407 | $96.62 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 356 | $84.41 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 350 | $83.15 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) | 1 in 346 | $82.31 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 299 | $71.06 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-well-worn) | 1 in 187 | $44.35 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $6.09 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $5.86 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $0.77 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-battle-scarred) | 14.5% | $0.28 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 29.7% | $0.27 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635198`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635198)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $100 | 89.12% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 25.8% legendary 0.1% Covert 0.1% sunny 1.1% extraordinary 8.3% classified 8.4% restricted 11.9% #4b69ff 14.5% industrial 29.7%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.12 on average: an expected loss of $10.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt