---
title: "Knife Cougar case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Knife Cougar ($171.70) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.55% over 49 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635204
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:20Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Knife Cougar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635204)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Knife Cougar

A case on G4Skins, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635204?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635204?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635204) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635204?window=all)

Price · $171.70

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.55% · 49 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 44 openings · below min

30 days · 49 openings · below min

since tracking started · 49 openings · below min

35.0% 77.8% 120.5%

**Small sample.** 49 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635204?window=24h) | 6 | 51.39% ±15.5 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635204?window=7d) | 44 | 91.64% ±28.3 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635204) | 49 | 90.55% ±25.5 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635204?window=all) | 49 | 90.55% ±25.5 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** G4Skins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $172 $1,058 6.16x 2026-11-07 14:10 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635204)

[★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $172 $135 0.78x 2026-11-11 18:32 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-field-tested) [Wnusi0](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Wnusi0) $172 $118 0.69x 2026-11-11 18:32 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) Hidden $172 $96.18 0.56x 2026-11-11 18:32 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Wnusi0](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Wnusi0) $172 $57.66 0.34x 2026-11-11 18:32 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) Hidden $172 $65.82 0.38x 2026-11-11 00:40 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Markowiecki](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Markowiecki) $172 $56.95 0.33x 2026-11-11 00:40 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $172 $113 0.66x 2026-11-10 21:37 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [andrzej terejko](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/andrzej%20terejko) $172 $119 0.69x 2026-11-10 21:37 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) [jeb sie skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/jeb%20sie%20skins.army) $172 $130 0.76x 2026-11-10 21:37 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $172 $170 0.99x 2026-11-10 21:28 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $1,058 (6.16x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.55 on average: an expected loss of $9.45 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
