---
title: "Luxury Knife Cougar case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Luxury Knife Cougar ($598.60) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.04% over 66 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635205
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:20Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Luxury Knife Cougar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635205)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Luxury Knife Cougar

A case on G4Skins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635205?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635205?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635205) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635205?window=all)

Price · $598.60

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 98.04% · 66 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 54 openings · below min

30 days · 66 openings · below min

since tracking started · 66 openings · below min

66.5% 96.0% 125.5%

**Small sample.** 66 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635205?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635205?window=7d) | 54 | 95.14% ±27.8 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635205) | 66 | 98.04% ±27.1 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635205?window=all) | 66 | 98.04% ±27.1 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** G4Skins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $599 $2,575 4.30x 2026-11-10 17:30 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $599 $2,575 4.30x 2026-11-09 21:58 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) [boltz](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/boltz) $599 $2,575 4.30x 2026-11-03 23:58 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $599 $2,482 4.15x 2026-11-10 17:40 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $599 $2,482 4.15x 2026-11-03 23:58 UTC

[★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $599 $2,176 3.63x 2026-11-07 03:34 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $599 $1,499 2.50x 2026-11-10 17:40 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $599 $1,468 2.45x 2026-11-10 17:40 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $599 $1,379 2.30x 2026-11-07 03:34 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [boltz](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/boltz) $599 $868 1.45x 2026-11-05 21:12 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635205)

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $599 $1,499 2.50x 2026-11-10 17:40 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $599 $550 0.92x 2026-11-10 17:40 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) [FREE SKINY - Estebanosz \[KICK\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/FREE%20SKINY%20-%20Estebanosz%20%5BKICK%5D) $599 $343 0.57x 2026-11-10 17:40 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) Hidden $599 $262 0.44x 2026-11-10 17:40 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $599 $59.52 0.10x 2026-11-10 17:40 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [FREE SKINY - Estebanosz \[KICK\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/FREE%20SKINY%20-%20Estebanosz%20%5BKICK%5D) $599 $180 0.30x 2026-11-10 17:40 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $599 $777 1.30x 2026-11-10 17:40 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) Hidden $599 $549 0.92x 2026-11-10 17:40 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) [FREE SKINY - Estebanosz \[KICK\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/FREE%20SKINY%20-%20Estebanosz%20%5BKICK%5D) $599 $262 0.44x 2026-11-10 17:40 UTC

[★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $599 $663 1.11x 2026-11-10 17:40 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $2,575 (4.30x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.04 on average: an expected loss of $1.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
