---
title: "Pastel Flora case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Pastel Flora ($4.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.97% from 50 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635216
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Pastel Flora](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635216)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Pastel Flora

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635216?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635216?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635216) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635216?window=all)

Price · $4.00

Advertised RTP · 88.97% · EV $3.56 from 50 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 7.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 28 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635216?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635216?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635216) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635216?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 50 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $276 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $237 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 4,545 | $144 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 4,545 | $142 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,846 | $119 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,125 | $98.37 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,125 | $97.80 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-field-tested) | 1 in 3,030 | $95.51 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Serum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-field-tested) | 1 in 313 | $61.41 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 289 | $56.75 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 286 | $56.19 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-factory-new) | 1 in 279 | $54.75 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-well-worn) | 1 in 222 | $43.52 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 218 | $42.91 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-minimal-wear) | 1 in 204 | $40.13 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 524 | $29.86 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 483 | $27.62 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 481 | $27.46 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 417 | $23.84 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 408 | $23.32 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 402 | $22.93 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 394 | $22.52 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 392 | $22.40 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 340 | $19.43 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 340 | $19.42 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 313 | $17.85 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-factory-new) | 1 in 285 | $16.30 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 278 | $15.87 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) | 1 in 241 | $13.78 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 1 in 240 | $13.72 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 239 | $13.68 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 216 | $12.34 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) | 1 in 207 | $11.86 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 198 | $11.34 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Devourer (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 188 | $10.75 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Contamination (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contamination-minimal-wear) | 1 in 170 | $9.70 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Water Sigil (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-water-sigil-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $7.19 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $7.03 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $4.92 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 39 | $4.63 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $4.36 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Special Delivery (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-field-tested) | 1 in 513 | $2.85 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) | 1 in 350 | $1.94 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Slashed (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-slashed-field-tested) | 1 in 328 | $1.82 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $0.66 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $0.51 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-field-tested) | 1 in 95 | $0.45 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Labyrinth (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-labyrinth-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.33 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 25.3% | $0.17 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-field-tested) | 45.6% | $0.10 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635216`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635216)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.97% | 50 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 12.9% covert 0.5% Restricted 0.4% Classified 0.5% Legendary 0.5% Mythical 0.5% violet 0.4% restricted 0.7% Rare 0.5% industrial 71.4% mil spec 6.0% pink 2.8% #4b69ff 3.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.97 on average: an expected loss of $11.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt